Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Valparaiso

50.5%Elon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADElon -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEElon -102

Elon

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 75

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreElon 77

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricElon

49.9MMH Power Index45.5

106.6Offensive Efficiency113.0

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.7

0.8Net Efficiency0.3

0.3Strength of Schedule-1.4

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-13.7

67.5Tempo69.1

48.7%Effective FG%52.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %33.4%

40.0%Free Throw Rate34.0%

0.5Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–45.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.7), net efficiency (0.8–0.3), strength of schedule (0.3–-1.4).

Elon COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.0–106.6), shooting efficiency (52.6–48.7), offensive rebounding (33.4–32.4).

Final

Valparaiso

78—82

Elon

Elon by 4 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATElon

27-61FG29-55

44.0%FG%53.0%

9-253PT7-18

36.0%3PT%39.0%

15-22FT17-22

68.0%FT%77.0%

35Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists14

11Turnovers13

6Steals9

5Blocks4

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahari Williamson	G	36	6-11	5-8	7-7	5	2	2	0	24
Cooper Schwieger	F	35	7-11	2-3	5-9	3	2	2	2	21
Jaxon Edwards	G	34	6-11	0-2	3-4	8	1	1	2	15
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	38	4-10	2-6	0-0	7	6	0	0	10
Kaspar Sepp	F	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Ola Ajiboye	F	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	13	0-6	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Connor Barrett	Guard	9	0-3	0-3	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Jerome Palm	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Higgins	Guard	36	7-9	0-0	5-6	2	4	6	0	19
Max Mackinnon	G	32	7-13	2-4	0-0	1	4	1	0	16
Nick Dorn	G	18	4-11	2-8	1-2	4	1	0	0	11
LA Pratt	G	27	3-7	2-3	2-2	7	2	1	0	10
Isaac Harrell	F	9	2-3	1-1	3-3	0	0	1	0	8
Sam Sherry	Forward	16	2-3	0-0	3-5	5	1	0	1	7
Deandre Smart	Forward	20	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Kendall Campbell	F	19	0-3	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	3	3
Zac Ervin	Guard	19	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ned Hull	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

111.4Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency111.4

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

51.6%Effective FG%59.1%

54.6%True Shooting %62.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

36.1%Free Throw Rate40.0%

41.0%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Elon won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.