Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.9%Alabama State

98.1%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -26.4

PROJECTED TOTAL160.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -5163

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 67

Projected Total160.3

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 93

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricSouth Florida

38MMH Power Index68.8

101.7Offensive Efficiency117.3

107.4Defensive Efficiency101.6

-5.7Net Efficiency15.7

-6.2Strength of Schedule1.8

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

71.9Tempo74.5

48.2%Effective FG%51.0%

18.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

35.8%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-4.1Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–38.0), offensive efficiency (117.3–101.7), defensive efficiency (101.6–107.4), net efficiency (15.7–-5.7).

Final

Alabama State

70—73

South Florida

South Florida by 3 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATSouth Florida

26-68FG21-48

38.0%FG%44.0%

10-243PT14-29

42.0%3PT%48.0%

8-12FT17-21

67.0%FT%81.0%

40Rebounds33

17Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists14

7Turnovers9

6Steals3

2Blocks4

21Fouls12

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	23	5-11	4-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	14
TJ Madlock	Guard	33	4-13	0-2	4-5	4	0	2	0	12
Micah Octave	G	32	4-11	2-5	1-2	11	1	3	0	11
Sean Smith	G	21	5-12	1-2	0-0	3	4	0	0	11
Kendal Parker	G	14	4-5	1-2	2-3	2	1	0	0	11
Ubong Okon	C	22	2-5	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	2	5
Isaiah Range	Guard	28	1-7	1-6	0-0	2	5	1	0	3
Eric Coleman	Forward	19	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Amarr Knox	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
JaSteven Walker	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Youngblood	Guard	37	7-12	6-9	6-7	2	1	1	3	26
Selton Miguel	Guard	35	5-13	4-7	0-0	3	3	0	1	14
Jayden Reid	G	23	3-6	1-2	6-6	1	4	0	0	13
Kobe Knox	G	33	2-7	1-5	3-4	5	2	1	0	8
Brandon Stroud	Guard	19	3-5	2-4	0-2	6	2	0	0	8
Sam Hines Jr.	Guard	30	1-4	0-2	0-0	9	0	0	0	2
Corey Walker Jr.	Forward	21	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	0	2
David Ogunleye	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

112.2Offensive Efficiency117.0

117.0Defensive Efficiency112.2

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

45.6%Effective FG%58.3%

47.5%True Shooting %63.0%

11.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

17.6%Free Throw Rate43.8%

35.3%3-Point Rate60.4%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

South Florida won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.