Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.5%Northwestern State

87.5%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -700

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 68

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreLSU 81

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricLSU

41.3MMH Power Index54.2

104.0Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.0Defensive Efficiency111.3

-5.0Net Efficiency4.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule4.5

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

63.6Tempo70.5

49.5%Effective FG%53.4%

17.6%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate41.9%

-3.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–41.3), offensive efficiency (115.5–104.0), net efficiency (4.2–-5.0), strength of schedule (4.5–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–111.3), recent form (-4.9–-12.8).

Final

Northwestern State

55—96

LSU

LSU by 41 • 75.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATLSU

21-59FG36-59

36.0%FG%61.0%

5-213PT11-21

24.0%3PT%52.0%

8-14FT13-20

57.0%FT%65.0%

31Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds5

7Assists22

20Turnovers11

9Steals17

3Blocks4

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Forte	G	26	3-4	0-0	3-6	2	2	1	0	9
Jimel Lane	F	22	4-9	1-4	0-0	6	0	2	1	9
Braelon Bush	G	24	3-7	2-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	8
Jae Slack	F	14	2-4	0-2	3-4	2	2	1	0	7
Chris Mubiru	G	21	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Cliff Davis	G	33	2-11	0-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Justin Wilson	Forward	21	2-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
Duane Posey	G	19	1-5	0-0	2-2	5	0	2	1	4
Mitch Williams	Guard	2	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Anthony Thomas	Guard	16	1-5	0-1	0-2	1	1	2	0	2
Karlin Hardy	SG	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike Williams III	G	22	7-11	6-9	0-0	1	1	0	0	20
Will Baker	Forward	22	6-8	1-1	4-6	5	1	2	1	17
Jalen Cook	Guard	29	5-8	2-3	1-3	0	5	1	0	13
Hunter Dean	Forward	17	5-5	0-0	1-2	10	1	0	2	11
Derek Fountain	Forward	27	3-3	0-0	4-5	10	2	4	0	10
Jordan Wright	Guard	23	3-4	1-2	3-4	3	3	5	0	10
Carlos Stewart Jr.	Guard	26	3-10	1-5	0-0	2	1	2	0	7
Trae Hannibal	Guard	19	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	8	2	0	6
Daimion Collins	F	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Adam Benhayoune	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.1Possessions75.1

73.2Offensive Efficiency127.8

127.8Defensive Efficiency73.2

-54.6Net Efficiency54.6

39.8%Effective FG%70.3%

41.9%True Shooting %70.1%

26.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

23.7%Free Throw Rate33.9%

35.6%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.35Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

LSU won by 41 points. The game played at approximately 75.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.