Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%Fresno State

42.5%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -135

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 76

Projected Total150.7

Projected ScoreSan Diego 75

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricSan Diego

47.1MMH Power Index39.8

104.9Offensive Efficiency106.2

104.9Defensive Efficiency111.1

0.0Net Efficiency-4.9

1.5Strength of Schedule-1.2

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

69.4Tempo70.1

51.3%Effective FG%52.0%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

35.5%Free Throw Rate26.3%

0.0Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–39.8), defensive efficiency (104.9–111.1), net efficiency (0.0–-4.9), strength of schedule (1.5–-1.2).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.2–104.9), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.3), ball security (17.8–18.2).

Final

Fresno State

71—67

San Diego

Fresno State by 4 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATSan Diego

25-55FG26-67

45.0%FG%39.0%

2-143PT5-18

14.0%3PT%28.0%

19-28FT10-16

68.0%FT%63.0%

45Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists8

15Turnovers10

6Steals8

7Blocks5

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Pope	Guard	31	5-10	1-4	2-5	5	4	1	0	13
Xavier DuSell	Guard	37	4-11	1-8	2-2	2	0	0	0	11
Eduardo Andre	Center	25	4-10	0-0	3-4	5	1	1	4	11
Donavan Yap	Guard	24	3-6	0-1	4-4	4	1	0	0	10
Jalen Weaver	Guard	24	4-6	0-0	2-4	4	0	2	1	10
Enoch Boakye	Forward	28	3-4	0-0	2-5	14	0	0	2	8
Leo Colimerio	Forward	23	1-3	0-1	4-4	2	3	1	0	6
Isaac Taveras	G	8	1-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deuce Turner	G	28	8-18	3-10	6-6	4	2	1	0	25
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	33	10-20	2-2	0-2	2	2	1	0	22
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	30	3-9	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	6
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	20	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	5
Deven Dahlke	Guard	8	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	24	1-7	0-1	0-2	4	0	3	2	2
Dragos Lungu	G	6	1-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Steven Jamerson II	F	29	0-0	0-0	0-0	10	2	0	1	0
Dominic Muncey	Guard	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency94.5

94.5Defensive Efficiency100.1

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

47.3%Effective FG%42.5%

52.0%True Shooting %44.9%

21.3%Turnover Rate14.0%

50.9%Free Throw Rate23.9%

25.5%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.