Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Arizona State

80.6%Stanford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStanford -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEStanford -415

Stanford

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 72

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreStanford 82

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricStanford

51MMH Power Index59.2

108.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

110.9Defensive Efficiency107.1

-2.8Net Efficiency4.5

7.0Strength of Schedule5.2

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.4

70.6Tempo68.1

51.3%Effective FG%51.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.5%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

40.2%Free Throw Rate37.2%

-1.9Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stanford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStanford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–51.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–108.1), defensive efficiency (107.1–110.9), net efficiency (4.5–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–5.2), free throw rate (40.2–37.2).

Final

Arizona State

76—73

Stanford

Arizona State by 3 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATStanford

29-63FG30-63

46.0%FG%48.0%

10-323PT10-24

31.0%3PT%42.0%

8-14FT3-7

57.0%FT%43.0%

32Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists18

9Turnovers13

5Steals3

4Blocks1

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Miller	G	29	5-12	2-6	1-1	4	4	0	0	13
Kamari Lands	G	20	4-8	3-5	2-3	4	2	0	0	13
Frankie Collins	G	33	5-9	1-3	1-2	3	3	2	0	12
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	31	5-10	2-7	0-0	4	0	0	1	12
Jamiya Neal	Guard	30	3-11	1-8	2-3	6	1	1	1	9
Jose Perez	Guard	29	3-7	0-0	0-3	1	3	2	0	6
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	11	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2	6
Braelon Green	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Bryant Selebangue	F	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Akil Watson	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Angel	Forward	33	7-12	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	15
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	25	7-11	0-0	1-2	15	1	1	0	15
Jared Bynum	Guard	32	5-11	2-5	0-1	5	6	1	0	12
Kanaan Carlyle	G	16	5-7	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	12
Spencer Jones	Forward	26	3-10	3-5	0-0	4	4	0	1	9
Andrej Stojakovic	G	22	2-7	2-4	2-3	2	0	0	0	8
Michael Jones	Guard	34	1-3	0-2	0-1	4	3	0	0	2
Benny Gealer	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
James Keefe	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

106.3Offensive Efficiency102.1

102.1Defensive Efficiency106.3

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

54.0%Effective FG%55.6%

54.6%True Shooting %55.0%

12.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

22.2%Free Throw Rate11.1%

50.8%3-Point Rate38.1%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.