William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.1%William & Mary

69.9%Navy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -232

Navy

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 72

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreNavy 79

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricNavy

53.8MMH Power Index56.8

112.5Offensive Efficiency113.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

7.3Net Efficiency15.6

-1.5Strength of Schedule-8.1

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency16.4

73.9Tempo65.9

55.3%Effective FG%53.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate40.9%

5.4Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–53.8), offensive efficiency (113.2–112.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.2), net efficiency (15.6–7.3).

William & Mary COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.5–-8.1), shooting efficiency (55.3–53.7), ball security (16.4–17.1).

Final

William & Mary

65—77

Navy

Navy by 12 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATNavy

23-58FG25-51

40.0%FG%49.0%

6-243PT5-15

25.0%3PT%33.0%

13-16FT22-30

81.0%FT%73.0%

35Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists15

17Turnovers10

3Steals10

1Blocks2

23Fouls16

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Lowe	G	29	7-12	0-0	5-7	6	1	1	0	19
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	28	4-5	3-4	7-7	3	0	0	0	18
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	34	6-14	1-6	1-2	8	1	1	1	14
Trey Moss	G	35	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	4	1	0	5
Matteus Case	Guard	33	2-7	0-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	4
Miles Hicks	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Charlie Williams	C	10	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Sean Houpt	Guard	19	0-7	0-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Benigni	G	37	8-12	0-2	12-12	4	5	1	1	28
Donovan Draper	F	34	8-13	2-3	3-6	10	3	4	1	21
Austin Inge	Guard	36	4-7	2-3	0-0	4	3	2	0	10
Mike Woods	F	26	2-4	0-0	2-4	2	1	0	0	6
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	18	1-4	1-3	3-5	2	0	2	0	6
Mitch Fischer	Forward	17	2-5	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	0	6
Kam Summers	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Mac MacDonald	Guard	10	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Carnegie Johnson	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0
Cam Cole	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Medalie	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

95.7Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency95.7

-17.7Net Efficiency17.7

44.8%Effective FG%53.9%

49.5%True Shooting %59.0%

24.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

27.6%Free Throw Rate58.8%

41.4%3-Point Rate29.4%

0.65Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Navy won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.