Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.4%Indiana State

96.6%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -21.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -2841

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 64

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreMichigan State 85

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricMichigan State

44.4MMH Power Index69.8

104.7Offensive Efficiency117.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency101.5

-1.3Net Efficiency15.5

0.1Strength of Schedule7.2

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

70.3Tempo67.3

53.6%Effective FG%54.1%

19.5%Turnover Rate17.2%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

28.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-0.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–44.4), offensive efficiency (117.0–104.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.0), net efficiency (15.5–-1.3).

Final

Indiana State

75—87

Michigan State

Michigan State by 12 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATMichigan State

25-57FG29-61

44.0%FG%48.0%

14-353PT6-17

40.0%3PT%35.0%

11-17FT23-27

65.0%FT%85.0%

27Rebounds41

8Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists17

14Turnovers12

9Steals7

—Blocks6

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	39	9-18	6-13	2-4	2	3	3	26
Ryan Conwell	G	34	5-11	3-6	3-4	5	3	1	16
Jayson Kent	Forward	22	5-9	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	12
Xavier Bledson	Guard	25	3-8	3-7	0-0	3	5	1	9
Robbie Avila	C	18	2-5	1-4	0-3	6	2	0	5
Aaron Gray	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	4-4	5	0	1	4
Julian Larry	Guard	36	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	3	3
Jake Wolfe	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Derek Vorst	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Masen Miller	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	31	5-15	2-5	10-10	2	5	1	0	22
Malik Hall	Forward	25	7-11	1-2	3-4	8	5	1	0	18
AJ Hoggard	Guard	32	6-11	1-3	4-4	2	4	1	2	17
Jaden Akins	Guard	35	5-10	2-5	1-1	4	0	1	0	13
Mady Sissoko	Center	24	1-4	0-0	4-6	12	0	0	1	6
Tre Holloman	G	20	2-6	0-2	0-0	4	3	3	1	4
Coen Carr	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Carson Cooper	C	16	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

105.8Offensive Efficiency122.7

122.7Defensive Efficiency105.8

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

56.1%Effective FG%52.5%

57.6%True Shooting %58.9%

19.7%Turnover Rate16.9%

29.8%Free Throw Rate44.3%

61.4%3-Point Rate27.9%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.