Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.0%Arkansas State

17.0%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -488

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 82

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 73

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricGeorgia State

57.7MMH Power Index38.9

113.1Offensive Efficiency101.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency107.5

7.8Net Efficiency-6.2

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.7

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

73.3Tempo69.5

52.7%Effective FG%45.3%

19.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.4%

5.8Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–38.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–101.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–107.5), net efficiency (7.8–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–19.4).

Final

Arkansas State

90—91

Georgia State

Georgia State by 1 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATGeorgia State

28-58FG32-67

48.0%FG%48.0%

11-283PT4-20

39.0%3PT%20.0%

23-32FT23-28

72.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds40

10Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists14

7Turnovers4

1Steals5

4Blocks3

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Avery Felts	Guard	37	6-9	6-9	3-6	2	1	0	0	21
Caleb Fields	Guard	37	6-16	0-4	8-12	5	6	0	0	20
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	35	4-9	1-5	5-6	4	5	1	1	14
Julian Lual	Guard	25	4-6	3-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	11
Izaiyah Nelson	F	28	3-4	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	3	9
Derrian Ford	G	17	2-8	1-3	4-4	2	0	0	0	9
Taryn Todd	Guard	7	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
LaQuill Hardnett	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zane Butler	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lado Laku	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dwon Odom	Guard	31	8-12	0-0	8-8	3	3	2	1	24
Lucas Taylor	Guard	33	6-15	1-8	3-3	5	3	1	0	16
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	35	4-7	0-1	5-6	12	4	1	0	13
Jamaine Mann	Guard	21	2-5	1-2	7-10	3	3	0	0	12
Toneari Lane	G	33	4-14	2-8	0-0	5	1	0	1	10
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	21	3-7	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	1	6
Brenden Tucker	Guard	11	2-3	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	4
Julian Mackey	G	8	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Ed Nnamoko	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Malik Ferguson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Rickey Bradley Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

128.9Offensive Efficiency130.4

130.4Defensive Efficiency128.9

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

57.8%Effective FG%50.7%

61.5%True Shooting %56.7%

10.0%Turnover Rate5.8%

55.2%Free Throw Rate41.8%

48.3%3-Point Rate29.9%

2.14Assist / Turnover3.50

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.