Longwood

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.5%Longwood

87.5%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -700

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLongwood 69

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreDayton 80

Team Comparison

LongwoodMetricDayton

47MMH Power Index59.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.0Defensive Efficiency101.5

5.1Net Efficiency7.0

-6.4Strength of Schedule5.7

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

71.9Tempo68.3

51.4%Effective FG%52.0%

19.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

42.0%Free Throw Rate47.6%

3.6Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–47.0), offensive efficiency (108.5–108.1), defensive efficiency (101.5–103.0), net efficiency (7.0–5.1).

Longwood COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.4–26.7).

Final

Longwood

69—78

Dayton

Dayton by 9 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LongwoodTEAM STATDayton

27-61FG27-51

44.0%FG%53.0%

6-153PT11-27

40.0%3PT%41.0%

9-12FT13-18

75.0%FT%72.0%

34Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds4

15Assists17

7Turnovers6

3Steals7

1Blocks3

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Longwood

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Massie	Guard	32	6-11	3-4	0-0	5	3	1	0	15
Walyn Napper	Guard	38	5-10	0-2	2-2	2	6	1	0	12
Michael Christmas	Forward	29	4-9	1-1	3-4	7	2	1	0	12
Elijah Tucker	F	13	4-7	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	11
Szymon Zapala	Center	22	4-9	0-0	1-2	10	0	0	1	9
D'Avian Houston	G	26	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
Emanuel Richards	G	8	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jesper Granlund	Forward	27	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Johan Nziemi	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	37	9-13	3-5	6-10	10	4	2	2	27
Kobe Elvis	Guard	32	4-10	2-5	2-2	0	4	0	0	12
Koby Brea	Guard	29	5-10	2-7	0-0	3	1	3	0	12
Javon Bennett	G	29	3-6	2-5	3-4	2	4	1	0	11
Nate Santos	Forward	34	2-5	1-2	2-2	6	1	0	0	7
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	23	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	6
Petras Padegimas	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Isaac Jack	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

110.9Offensive Efficiency125.4

125.4Defensive Efficiency110.9

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

49.2%Effective FG%63.7%

51.7%True Shooting %65.5%

11.2%Turnover Rate9.7%

19.7%Free Throw Rate35.3%

24.6%3-Point Rate52.9%

2.14Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

Dayton won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.