Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Middle Tennessee

65.3%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -188

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 77

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreMurray State 82

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricMurray State

52.5MMH Power Index53.6

109.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

3.9Net Efficiency4.0

0.4Strength of Schedule3.5

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

68.8Tempo72.3

52.2%Effective FG%54.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

2.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.6), net efficiency (4.0–3.9), strength of schedule (3.5–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–111.0), recent form (3.2–-9.5).

Final

Middle Tennessee

54—75

Murray State

Murray State by 21 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATMurray State

20-52FG26-60

38.0%FG%43.0%

5-243PT8-19

21.0%3PT%42.0%

9-17FT15-19

53.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists13

18Turnovers9

4Steals10

2Blocks2

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias King	Guard	28	5-14	2-9	4-4	6	1	2	0	16
Jacob Johnson	Guard	29	4-7	0-0	1-5	6	0	0	0	9
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	17	3-5	1-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	7
O'zhell Jackson	Guard	14	2-3	0-0	1-1	4	1	0	0	5
Jalen Jordan	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Jestin Porter	G	34	2-11	0-6	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Chris Loofe	F	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	2	4
Tre Green	G	11	1-4	1-3	1-2	0	1	1	0	4
Justin Bufford	Guard	25	0-2	0-2	0-2	5	1	0	0	0
Ty Mosley	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isiah Lightsy	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Jubenville	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	38	6-8	3-3	3-3	6	4	0	0	18
Nick Ellington	F	27	6-12	0-0	5-6	8	0	2	1	17
Rob Perry	Guard	32	4-12	2-4	3-4	4	5	3	0	13
Brian Moore Jr.	G	20	4-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Quincy Anderson	Guard	21	1-7	1-4	4-4	4	3	1	0	7
Alden Applewhite	F	21	2-8	2-5	0-2	5	1	1	0	6
Samuel Murray	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Patrick Chew	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lawrent Rice	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

78.1Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency78.1

-30.4Net Efficiency30.4

43.3%Effective FG%50.0%

44.9%True Shooting %54.3%

25.7%Turnover Rate13.2%

32.7%Free Throw Rate31.7%

46.2%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Murray State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.