Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.5%Northern Arizona

91.5%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -1076

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 86

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricNorthern Colorado

36.9MMH Power Index53.7

107.1Offensive Efficiency116.0

114.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

-7.7Net Efficiency8.4

-1.8Strength of Schedule-4.3

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

66.6Tempo71.1

53.5%Effective FG%56.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.3%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

33.6%Free Throw Rate27.8%

-5.1Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–36.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–114.8), net efficiency (8.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-4.3), free throw rate (33.6–27.8).

Final

Northern Arizona

77—92

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 15 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

27-57FG34-49

47.0%FG%69.0%

11-283PT11-20

39.0%3PT%55.0%

12-15FT13-23

80.0%FT%57.0%

22Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists19

10Turnovers9

5Steals4

—Blocks1

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	25	6-15	3-8	5-6	2	2	0	20
Diego Campisano	F	33	4-6	2-3	2-2	3	2	1	12
Oakland Fort	G	29	4-9	3-6	0-0	1	2	2	11
Liam Lloyd	Guard	25	4-6	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	10
Jayden Jackson	G	23	3-7	1-4	3-5	6	0	0	10
C.J. Ford	Guard	17	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	4
Isaiah Kai	Guard	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	4
Jack Wistrcill	Forward	13	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	1	0	2
Ryan Abelman	G	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2
Tichyque Musaka	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Carson Basham	Forward	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Arman Madi	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Rillie	Guard	31	6-7	2-2	4-6	4	4	1	0	18
Langston Reynolds	G	29	7-7	1-1	2-4	2	5	0	0	17
Brock Wisne	F	26	8-8	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	16
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	32	5-10	2-6	3-4	5	2	1	0	15
Zach Bloch	G	32	5-6	4-5	0-0	5	4	0	0	14
Connor Creech	Guard	10	1-2	0-1	2-4	2	0	1	0	4
Mekhi Cameron	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Saint Thomas	Forward	6	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Theo Hughes	Center	11	0-1	0-0	2-5	3	0	0	1	2
Marcell McCreary	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Juju Ramirez	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Page	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

115.8Offensive Efficiency138.3

138.3Defensive Efficiency115.8

-22.6Net Efficiency22.6

57.0%Effective FG%80.6%

60.0%True Shooting %76.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

26.3%Free Throw Rate46.9%

49.1%3-Point Rate40.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.