Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Montana State

53.3%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -114

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreWeber State 79

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricWeber State

53.6MMH Power Index50.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency113.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

9.5Net Efficiency5.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule-3.4

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

68.1Tempo71.5

55.1%Effective FG%52.6%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.5Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–113.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), net efficiency (9.5–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.1), free throw rate (38.3–30.7).

Final

Montana State

64—86

Weber State

Weber State by 22 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATWeber State

24-59FG28-49

41.0%FG%57.0%

8-223PT6-14

36.0%3PT%43.0%

8-14FT24-35

57.0%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists16

9Turnovers10

8Steals5

2Blocks2

26Fouls16

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eddie Turner III	Guard	34	7-13	4-5	0-0	4	4	2	0	18
Brandon Walker	F	17	6-10	0-0	5-8	4	1	1	0	17
Tyler Patterson	Guard	39	5-12	4-10	0-0	3	2	2	0	14
Robert Ford III	Guard	31	1-4	0-1	2-2	4	3	1	1	4
Brian Goracke	Forward	28	2-10	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	1	4
Sam Lecholat	Forward	20	2-5	0-2	0-1	2	4	0	0	4
Chika Nduka	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	2
Jaden Geron	G	11	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	2	1	0	1
John Olmsted	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jed Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Carter Ash	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dillon Jones	Forward	35	7-12	2-5	13-14	13	6	4	0	29
Steven Verplancken	Guard	35	4-10	2-4	4-5	3	4	0	0	14
Dyson Koehler	Forward	32	4-4	2-2	2-3	8	1	1	0	12
Alex Tew	Center	25	6-8	0-0	0-4	3	1	0	2	12
Blaise Threatt	Guard	30	5-8	0-1	1-3	6	2	0	0	11
KJ Cunningham	Guard	17	2-6	0-1	2-2	2	2	0	0	6
Viljami Vartiainen	G	13	0-1	0-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	2
Arnaud Revaz	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Marko Šarenac	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Louie Jordan	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Handje Tamba	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Dockery	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

96.0Offensive Efficiency128.9

128.9Defensive Efficiency96.0

-33.0Net Efficiency33.0

47.5%Effective FG%63.3%

48.7%True Shooting %65.5%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.2%

23.7%Free Throw Rate71.4%

37.3%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Weber State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.