UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.3%UNC Wilmington

83.7%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -513

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 75

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreArkansas 86

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricArkansas

59.2MMH Power Index69.3

114.1Offensive Efficiency122.2

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

12.4Net Efficiency12.4

-1.5Strength of Schedule8.6

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

66.9Tempo73.8

51.1%Effective FG%56.4%

14.8%Turnover Rate12.2%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

8.3Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–59.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–114.1), net efficiency (12.4–12.4), strength of schedule (8.6–-1.5).

UNC Wilmington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.7–109.8), recent form (5.5–3.4), offensive rebounding (35.8–31.8).

Final

UNC Wilmington

90—106

Arkansas

Arkansas by 16 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATArkansas

28-66FG33-63

42.0%FG%52.0%

10-283PT7-20

36.0%3PT%35.0%

24-34FT33-43

71.0%FT%77.0%

35Rebounds40

15Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists16

8Turnovers8

3Steals5

2Blocks5

29Fouls27

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trazarien White	Forward	33	9-20	1-4	9-15	5	2	0	0	28
Shykeim Phillips	Guard	28	9-13	3-4	4-5	3	2	1	1	25
KJ Jenkins	Guard	33	4-16	2-10	0-0	5	2	1	0	10
Noah Ross	G	13	1-2	1-1	4-4	0	0	0	0	7
Eric Van Der Heijden	Forward	26	1-3	1-3	2-2	11	1	0	1	5
Donovan Newby	Not Available	20	1-3	1-2	2-2	3	5	1	0	5
Maleeck Harden-Hayes	Guard	23	1-5	1-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Nolan Hodge	G	14	1-2	0-1	2-4	3	1	0	0	4
Khamari McGriff	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyon Menifield Jr.	Guard	35	8-14	3-7	13-17	4	5	0	0	32
Tramon Mark	G	24	5-8	1-2	7-8	2	1	1	1	18
Jalen Graham	Forward	27	7-11	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	1	16
Davonte Davis	Guard	35	5-7	3-5	1-2	6	6	3	0	14
Trevon Brazile	F	33	5-8	0-1	2-3	8	1	0	0	12
El Ellis	Guard	10	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Chandler Lawson	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	1-3	5	1	0	1	3
Layden Blocker	G	9	0-2	0-1	3-4	2	1	0	0	3
Khalif Battle	Guard	7	0-5	0-2	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
Denijay Harris	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Pinion	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

118.7Offensive Efficiency139.8

139.8Defensive Efficiency118.7

-21.1Net Efficiency21.1

50.0%Effective FG%57.9%

54.8%True Shooting %63.5%

10.6%Turnover Rate10.5%

51.5%Free Throw Rate68.3%

42.4%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.63Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.