Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%Little Rock

85.6%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -13.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -594

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 69

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreTennessee State 82

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricTennessee State

44MMH Power Index55.4

103.0Offensive Efficiency110.9

108.2Defensive Efficiency102.7

-5.2Net Efficiency8.2

0.5Strength of Schedule-3.1

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

68.5Tempo72.4

50.3%Effective FG%50.9%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

28.6%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-3.6Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.9–103.0), defensive efficiency (102.7–108.2), net efficiency (8.2–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.1).

Final

Little Rock

82—90

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 8 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATTennessee State

28-64FG28-52

44.0%FG%54.0%

2-213PT9-18

10.0%3PT%50.0%

24-30FT25-29

80.0%FT%86.0%

36Rebounds31

16Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists16

12Turnovers14

3Steals6

4Blocks4

26Fouls22

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KK Robinson	G	35	3-13	1-6	9-9	3	1	1	0	16
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	24	7-13	0-4	2-6	6	1	0	3	16
Creed Williamson	Forward	23	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	28	3-7	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	7
Cougar Downing	G	19	2-9	0-5	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Bradley Douglas	G	25	0-4	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Nikola Milosevic	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Brown	Guard	30	6-10	2-3	6-7	3	0	1	0	20
EJ Bellinger	Guard	26	5-8	2-2	5-7	8	3	1	0	17
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	37	4-13	1-6	5-6	0	3	1	0	14
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	24	3-3	0-0	5-5	5	1	1	4	11
Michael Shanks	Forward	23	4-5	3-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	11
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	33	3-8	0-2	2-2	7	2	1	0	8
Justin Williams	Guard	13	2-4	1-1	0-0	0	4	1	0	5
Emmanuel Dowuona	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Denim Dawson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Knute Wood	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

110.7Offensive Efficiency121.5

121.5Defensive Efficiency110.7

-10.8Net Efficiency10.8

45.3%Effective FG%62.5%

52.4%True Shooting %68.4%

16.2%Turnover Rate19.0%

46.9%Free Throw Rate55.8%

32.8%3-Point Rate34.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.