Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.7%Cal Poly

67.3%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -206

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 79

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreUC Davis 85

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Davis

46.5MMH Power Index48.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

-3.8Net Efficiency3.5

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.9

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

76.6Tempo72.4

52.2%Effective FG%52.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

35.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-2.9Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–46.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (3.5–-3.8), shooting efficiency (52.3–52.2).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.9), recent form (2.4–-0.1), offensive rebounding (29.9–26.7).

Final

Cal Poly

46—71

UC Davis

UC Davis by 25 • 61.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Davis

16-49FG24-49

33.0%FG%49.0%

2-133PT10-20

15.0%3PT%50.0%

12-22FT13-14

55.0%FT%93.0%

27Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds8

5Assists10

12Turnovers13

7Steals8

2Blocks4

13Fouls20

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	36	5-17	1-6	2-3	4	1	3	0	13
Kobe Sanders	Guard	26	3-7	0-1	4-5	3	1	1	0	10
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	31	2-7	0-2	2-3	4	1	1	0	6
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	17	2-2	0-0	2-5	0	0	0	0	6
Joel Armotrading	C	19	1-3	0-0	1-4	3	1	0	0	3
Aidan Prukop	Guard	16	1-6	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	1	3
Quentin Jones	G	30	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Justin Page	G	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Isaac Spears	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Paul Bizimana	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Cole Haller	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	33	9-18	6-11	1-1	6	0	2	1	25
Kane Milling	Guard	28	3-9	2-6	4-4	6	1	0	0	12
Ade Adebayo	Forward	20	3-3	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
TY Johnson	Guard	32	2-10	1-2	3-4	5	4	4	0	8
Niko Rocak	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Pablo Tamba	F	13	1-1	0-0	3-3	1	1	0	2	5
Francesco Borra	Forward	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Sione Lose	Guard	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Sam Manu	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Connor Sevilla	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.1Possessions61.1

75.3Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency75.3

-40.9Net Efficiency40.9

34.7%Effective FG%59.2%

38.7%True Shooting %63.8%

19.5%Turnover Rate21.4%

44.9%Free Throw Rate28.6%

26.5%3-Point Rate40.8%

0.42Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 61.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.