Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Montana

63.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -176

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 75

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricIdaho State

45.4MMH Power Index45.9

108.6Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.8Defensive Efficiency113.4

3.8Net Efficiency-2.4

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.2

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

71.2Tempo67.1

56.3%Effective FG%52.2%

19.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

37.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

2.7Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–45.4), offensive efficiency (111.0–108.6), strength of schedule (0.2–-2.4), ball security (16.5–19.2).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–113.4), net efficiency (3.8–-2.4), recent form (-6.5–-9.6).

Final

Montana

76—68

Idaho State

Montana by 8 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATIdaho State

33-62FG26-56

53.0%FG%46.0%

6-153PT7-18

40.0%3PT%39.0%

4-6FT9-13

67.0%FT%69.0%

36Rebounds25

12Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists11

11Turnovers9

4Steals9

3Blocks7

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Whitney	Guard	39	9-14	0-0	2-2	7	9	1	0	20
Dischon Thomas	Forward	37	6-11	4-7	2-3	11	2	0	1	18
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	32	8-14	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	17
Aanen Moody	Guard	35	4-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	9
Giordan Williams	Guard	21	4-8	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	0	8
Jaxon Nap	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Blake Jones	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Josh Vazquez	Guard	24	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Parker	Center	33	10-17	4-7	0-0	6	3	0	2	24
Kiree Huie	F	37	6-11	0-0	5-6	5	0	1	3	17
Maleek Arington	G	36	5-9	1-3	1-3	1	3	4	1	12
Isaiah Griffin	F	37	3-7	2-3	1-2	7	1	0	0	9
Miguel Tomley	Guard	33	1-7	0-2	2-2	1	3	2	0	4
Trent Johnson	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
AJ Burgin	Guard	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

119.5Offensive Efficiency106.9

106.9Defensive Efficiency119.5

12.6Net Efficiency-12.6

58.1%Effective FG%52.7%

58.6%True Shooting %54.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.2%

9.7%Free Throw Rate23.2%

24.2%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Montana won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.