Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.7%Incarnate Word

85.3%UT Rio Grande Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Rio Grande Valley -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Rio Grande Valley -580

UT Rio Grande Valley

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 68

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreUT Rio Grande Valley 80

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricUT Rio Grande Valley

44.6MMH Power Index55.8

112.0Offensive Efficiency112.6

111.2Defensive Efficiency103.1

0.8Net Efficiency9.5

-3.6Strength of Schedule-1.9

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency12.3

66.3Tempo67.4

52.2%Effective FG%55.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.9%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.0%Free Throw Rate29.6%

0.5Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Rio Grande Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Rio Grande Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–44.6), offensive efficiency (112.6–112.0), defensive efficiency (103.1–111.2), net efficiency (9.5–0.8).

Incarnate Word COUNTERS WITHball security (16.8–17.9), offensive rebounding (34.4–29.2), free throw rate (34.0–29.6).

Final

Incarnate Word

74—77

UT Rio Grande Valley

UT Rio Grande Valley by 3 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATUT Rio Grande Valley

27-66FG26-61

41.0%FG%43.0%

8-273PT5-18

30.0%3PT%28.0%

12-17FT20-29

71.0%FT%69.0%

33Rebounds47

14Offensive Rebounds20

18Assists15

14Turnovers15

9Steals9

8Blocks7

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shon Robinson	Forward	32	8-11	1-2	4-5	9	1	1	3	21
Alex Anderson	G	37	5-11	0-0	3-5	1	6	2	0	13
Skylar Wicks	G	31	5-13	1-3	2-2	10	4	0	1	13
Breno Silva	Forward	14	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	9
Josh Morgan	Guard	25	2-11	2-8	2-3	1	2	2	0	8
Dylan Hayman	Forward	26	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	2	2	7
Josiah Hammons	G	21	1-10	0-7	0-0	3	3	1	0	2
Marcus Glover	F	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	1
Elijah Davis	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

UT Rio Grande Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Elliott	G	36	8-21	1-6	4-5	3	3	4	0	21
Hasan Abdul Hakim	G	37	6-14	3-5	2-3	5	4	1	2	17
J.J. Howard	Guard	37	3-7	1-4	6-6	3	3	0	2	13
Saliou Seye	F	22	4-5	0-0	3-7	9	0	1	1	11
Ahren Freeman	Forward	19	4-6	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	9
Daylen Williams	Forward	38	1-7	0-2	4-6	14	3	2	2	6
CJ Booker	PG	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Sherman Brashear	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Barganier	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

102.9Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency102.9

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

47.0%Effective FG%46.7%

49.9%True Shooting %51.5%

18.9%Turnover Rate21.5%

25.8%Free Throw Rate47.5%

40.9%3-Point Rate29.5%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UT Rio Grande Valley won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.