California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%California Baptist

43.0%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -133

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 72

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 72

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricNew Mexico State

58.3MMH Power Index51.2

106.5Offensive Efficiency108.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency104.5

7.5Net Efficiency4.4

1.8Strength of Schedule-0.7

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

68.2Tempo68.9

48.8%Effective FG%48.6%

17.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

37.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

5.1Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–51.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.5), net efficiency (7.5–4.4), strength of schedule (1.8–-0.7).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–106.5), ball security (15.2–17.9).

Final

California Baptist

61—66

New Mexico State

New Mexico State by 5 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATNew Mexico State

16-52FG24-59

31.0%FG%41.0%

5-253PT6-14

20.0%3PT%43.0%

24-30FT12-20

80.0%FT%60.0%

35Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists12

13Turnovers12

8Steals6

1Blocks2

18Fouls22

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	38	5-13	2-7	2-2	3	3	1	0	14
Kendal Coleman	Forward	16	4-5	0-1	6-8	12	0	0	0	14
Hunter Goodrick	Forward	29	3-6	1-2	6-6	7	2	0	0	13
Tylen Riley	G	21	2-6	2-4	4-4	1	0	0	1	10
Yvan Ouedraogo	Forward	24	1-5	0-0	4-8	5	1	3	0	6
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno	Guard	33	1-10	0-4	2-2	3	0	2	0	4
Scotty Washington	G	20	0-6	0-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Malik Wade	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Chiles	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Carpenter	Forward	17	6-11	4-6	4-4	7	0	0	0	20
Jaylin Jackson-Posey	Guard	29	4-10	1-2	2-4	2	3	2	0	11
Jordan Rawls	Guard	31	1-6	1-1	4-4	3	6	3	0	7
Brandon Suggs	Guard	24	3-7	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	1	7
Femi Odukale	Guard	22	3-9	0-1	1-5	5	2	0	0	7
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	20	3-4	0-0	0-1	4	1	0	0	6
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	13	3-3	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	6
Tanahj Pettway	Point Guard	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Christian Cook	Guard	23	0-6	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Christopher Biekeu	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaden Harris	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

83.7Offensive Efficiency90.5

90.5Defensive Efficiency83.7

-6.9Net Efficiency6.9

35.6%Effective FG%45.8%

46.0%True Shooting %48.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.1%

57.7%Free Throw Rate33.9%

48.1%3-Point Rate23.7%

0.46Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.