Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Cal State Fullerton

74.4%Hawai'i

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -291

Hawai'i

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 76

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreHawai'i 85

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricHawai'i

49.4MMH Power Index54.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency109.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

1.7Net Efficiency12.4

-1.2Strength of Schedule-2.8

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

76.3Tempo72.8

52.6%Effective FG%52.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate43.4%

1.3Average Margin9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (109.4–108.8), defensive efficiency (97.0–107.1), net efficiency (12.4–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.8), recent form (2.7–-1.8), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.4).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

63—61

Hawai'i

Cal State Fullerton by 2 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATHawai'i

26-55FG22-53

47.0%FG%42.0%

3-63PT5-23

50.0%3PT%22.0%

8-15FT12-21

53.0%FT%57.0%

27Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds10

4Assists10

11Turnovers17

7Steals4

1Blocks5

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	42	7-15	0-1	3-6	4	2	2	17
Vincent Lee	Forward	19	5-9	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	10
Donovan Oday	G	28	3-8	0-0	3-4	4	0	3	9
Grayson Carper	Guard	24	3-4	3-3	0-0	4	0	0	9
John Mikey Square	Not Available	26	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	6
Beril Kabamba	Forward	34	0-3	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	2
Zachary Visentin	Center	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernardo da Silva	Forward	31	6-9	0-0	3-5	10	1	1	0	15
Justin McKoy	Forward	32	4-8	2-4	2-2	8	1	0	1	12
Noel Coleman	Guard	41	3-9	1-4	2-2	4	2	1	0	9
Tom Beattie	G	23	3-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	7
JoVon McClanahan	Guard	39	2-11	0-5	2-6	5	4	1	0	6
Ryan Rapp	Guard	16	2-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Mor Seck	C	10	0-0	0-0	3-6	1	0	0	1	3
Juan Munoz	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	17	1-5	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	2	2
Matthue Cotton	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

91.8Offensive Efficiency88.9

88.9Defensive Efficiency91.8

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

50.0%Effective FG%46.2%

50.7%True Shooting %48.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate24.3%

27.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

10.9%3-Point Rate43.4%

0.36Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.