Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Arizona State

75.4%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -307

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 73

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreCalifornia 82

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricCalifornia

51MMH Power Index56.5

108.1Offensive Efficiency111.8

110.9Defensive Efficiency104.8

-2.8Net Efficiency7.0

7.0Strength of Schedule2.8

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

70.6Tempo69.9

51.3%Effective FG%52.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-1.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–51.0), offensive efficiency (111.8–108.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–110.9), net efficiency (7.0–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–2.8), offensive rebounding (29.6–26.6), free throw rate (40.2–36.8).

Final

Arizona State

71—69

California

Arizona State by 2 • 77.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATCalifornia

25-65FG23-60

38.0%FG%38.0%

10-313PT5-27

32.0%3PT%19.0%

11-14FT18-22

79.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds45

6Offensive Rebounds9

3Assists12

12Turnovers15

9Steals8

6Blocks4

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Frankie Collins	G	31	10-17	3-5	2-3	4	1	6	0	25
Kamari Lands	G	21	3-5	3-5	2-2	5	0	0	1	11
Adam Miller	G	34	3-11	2-7	1-2	5	0	2	1	9
Jose Perez	Guard	25	2-7	0-1	5-5	2	0	0	0	9
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	31	3-12	2-10	0-0	5	0	1	2	8
Jamiya Neal	Guard	31	3-8	0-3	1-2	6	2	0	2	7
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Akil Watson	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Bryant Selebangue	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Braelon Green	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	37	6-15	2-8	6-7	9	5	6	1	20
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	33	6-11	1-1	4-5	14	2	0	0	17
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	33	5-8	0-3	1-3	5	1	0	1	11
Grant Newell	F	15	4-7	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	10
Jalen Cone	Guard	33	2-9	2-8	3-3	4	1	0	0	9
Devin Askew	G	8	0-3	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Jalen Celestine	G	28	0-4	0-3	0-0	5	2	1	2	0
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Gus Larson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Devin Curtis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.1Possessions77.1

92.1Offensive Efficiency89.5

89.5Defensive Efficiency92.1

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

46.2%Effective FG%42.5%

49.5%True Shooting %49.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate19.6%

21.5%Free Throw Rate36.7%

47.7%3-Point Rate45.0%

0.25Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 77.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.