Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

98.6%Utah State

1.4%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -27.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -7043

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 88

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreAir Force 60

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricAir Force

65.7MMH Power Index23

119.7Offensive Efficiency91.3

103.1Defensive Efficiency118.5

16.6Net Efficiency-27.2

3.5Strength of Schedule6.2

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

68.6Tempo67.4

56.9%Effective FG%49.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate21.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.9%

11.4Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (119.7–91.3), defensive efficiency (103.1–118.5), net efficiency (16.6–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–3.5).

Final

Utah State

88—60

Air Force

Utah State by 28 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATAir Force

31-49FG21-48

63.0%FG%44.0%

4-123PT2-14

33.0%3PT%14.0%

22-35FT16-24

63.0%FT%67.0%

29Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists10

9Turnovers16

9Steals7

3Blocks2

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Great Osobor	Forward	33	11-14	0-0	10-16	9	4	1	0	32
Mason Falslev	G	32	6-9	1-3	5-6	4	1	3	0	18
Ian Martinez	Guard	27	7-7	1-1	2-3	2	2	1	0	17
Darius Brown II	Guard	38	4-8	0-2	0-0	5	8	4	0	8
Javon Jackson	G	24	2-4	2-2	2-4	1	0	0	0	8
Kalifa Sakho	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	2	4
Landon Brenchley	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Josh Uduje	Guard	22	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Nigel Burris	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Isaac Johnson	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rytis Petraitis	F	25	7-12	0-0	1-4	4	2	2	1	15
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	37	4-7	0-2	4-6	2	4	0	0	12
Ethan Taylor	Guard	36	3-8	2-5	4-4	5	2	3	0	12
Kellan Boylan	F	34	3-7	0-1	5-8	3	1	0	1	11
Byron Brown	Guard	16	2-2	0-0	1-1	4	0	1	0	5
Luke Kearney	F	11	1-5	0-2	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Beau Becker	Forward	19	1-4	0-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Chase Beasley	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Kolby Gilles	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brady Ruggles	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Caleb Walker	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

135.4Offensive Efficiency92.3

92.3Defensive Efficiency135.4

43.1Net Efficiency-43.1

67.3%Effective FG%45.8%

67.0%True Shooting %50.5%

13.7%Turnover Rate24.8%

71.4%Free Throw Rate50.0%

24.5%3-Point Rate29.2%

1.67Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Utah State won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.