Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%Buffalo

46.9%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -113

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 78

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 77

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricCentral Michigan

49.7MMH Power Index44

114.9Offensive Efficiency105.9

112.2Defensive Efficiency111.0

2.7Net Efficiency-5.1

0.0Strength of Schedule-0.5

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

67.9Tempo69.3

56.1%Effective FG%52.6%

16.1%Turnover Rate18.3%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

40.4%Free Throw Rate32.9%

1.8Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–44.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–105.9), net efficiency (2.7–-5.1), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.5).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.0–112.2), recent form (1.3–-5.9), offensive rebounding (29.6–27.6).

Final

Buffalo

76—64

Central Michigan

Buffalo by 12 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATCentral Michigan

25-50FG24-65

50.0%FG%37.0%

6-203PT3-23

30.0%3PT%13.0%

20-22FT13-18

91.0%FT%72.0%

40Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists10

18Turnovers8

5Steals9

4Blocks4

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	36	7-14	0-3	12-13	8	2	1	3	26
Ryan Sabol	G	33	5-9	5-8	0-1	4	0	1	0	15
Isaiah Adams	Guard	29	4-9	1-5	4-4	5	3	2	0	13
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	30	4-4	0-0	4-4	15	2	0	0	12
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	9	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	37	1-5	0-1	0-0	4	3	0	1	2
James Graham III	G	22	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zaakir Williamson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	38	7-18	0-5	5-6	3	2	5	0	19
Brian Taylor	Guard	39	5-12	0-4	3-4	8	1	1	2	13
Markus Harding	C	27	6-8	0-0	0-0	8	2	0	1	12
Paul McMillan IV	G	17	3-9	2-5	3-4	1	1	1	0	11
Aidan Rubio	G	23	2-4	1-2	0-2	4	1	0	1	5
Derrick Butler	Guard	24	0-7	0-4	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Jemal Davis	Forward	14	1-7	0-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	2
Cayden Vasko	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Hunter Harding	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
KJ Oduor	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

110.8Offensive Efficiency93.3

93.3Defensive Efficiency110.8

17.5Net Efficiency-17.5

56.0%Effective FG%39.2%

62.9%True Shooting %43.5%

26.3%Turnover Rate11.7%

44.0%Free Throw Rate27.7%

40.0%3-Point Rate35.4%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.