Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Toledo

33.3%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -200

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreOhio 79

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricOhio

58.8MMH Power Index48

116.0Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency110.7

6.4Net Efficiency-1.0

2.3Strength of Schedule-0.1

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

69.8Tempo71.0

55.1%Effective FG%52.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

30.3%Free Throw Rate37.8%

4.5Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–48.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.7), net efficiency (6.4–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.8–30.3).

Final

Toledo

86—77

Ohio

Toledo by 9 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATOhio

29-51FG28-62

57.0%FG%45.0%

5-133PT8-25

38.0%3PT%32.0%

23-31FT13-21

74.0%FT%62.0%

31Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds17

10Assists12

9Turnovers13

7Steals3

2Blocks3

20Fouls25

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	34	6-15	1-4	5-6	6	1	2	0	18
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	34	3-5	1-3	11-14	3	2	0	0	18
Tyler Cochran	G	33	8-14	0-0	0-0	7	3	2	1	16
Sonny Wilson	G	33	4-6	0-1	5-6	2	3	1	0	13
Sam Lewis	G	10	4-4	2-2	1-3	2	0	0	0	11
Javan Simmons	F	25	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	16	1-3	1-3	1-2	0	0	1	1	4
Ben Wight	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Bryce Ford	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marko Maletic	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elmore James IV	G	35	7-12	1-2	2-2	8	2	0	0	17
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	25	7-13	0-2	2-2	6	1	0	1	16
Ajay Sheldon	G	18	4-5	4-5	1-4	2	1	0	0	13
Jaylin Hunter	Guard	28	3-9	1-5	2-4	4	1	1	0	9
AJ Clayton	Forward	32	3-9	1-6	0-0	2	2	0	1	7
Ike Cornish	G	15	2-4	1-2	2-3	2	0	0	0	7
Aidan Hadaway	F	21	1-5	0-2	2-4	5	0	1	1	4
Miles Brown	Guard	17	0-3	0-1	2-2	2	5	1	0	2
Gabe Wiznitzer	Center	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

127.6Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency127.6

13.4Net Efficiency-13.4

61.8%Effective FG%51.6%

65.4%True Shooting %53.5%

13.5%Turnover Rate19.1%

60.8%Free Throw Rate33.9%

25.5%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.11Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Toledo won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.