Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Belmont

42.7%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -134

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 77

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 75

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricSouthern Illinois

61.8MMH Power Index54.6

118.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency98.5

14.9Net Efficiency4.9

-0.2Strength of Schedule1.6

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

70.7Tempo70.6

60.7%Effective FG%49.5%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

32.7%Free Throw Rate32.3%

10.5Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–54.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–103.4), net efficiency (14.9–4.9), recent form (10.0–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.7), strength of schedule (1.6–-0.2), ball security (17.0–17.8).

Final

Belmont

63—73

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 10 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

22-60FG23-57

37.0%FG%40.0%

6-283PT4-21

21.0%3PT%19.0%

13-18FT23-24

72.0%FT%96.0%

34Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists14

10Turnovers13

8Steals7

2Blocks3

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Dia	F	26	10-17	1-5	4-8	7	1	1	0	25
Cade Tyson	G	35	3-14	3-9	4-4	3	2	2	1	13
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	34	3-8	1-5	1-2	3	6	4	0	8
Isaiah Walker	G	31	2-5	1-3	0-0	7	2	0	0	5
Brigham Rogers	F	20	1-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	4
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	5	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	26	1-6	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Jayce Willingham	Guard	23	1-5	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	1	2

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	36	3-11	0-3	12-13	4	8	3	0	18
AJ Ferguson	Guard	27	5-8	2-3	3-3	5	0	0	2	15
Scottie Ebube	C	16	6-7	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	12
Clarence Rupert	Forward	13	5-7	1-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	11
Trent Brown	Guard	40	1-7	1-7	4-4	5	3	3	0	7
Troy D'Amico	Forward	29	1-5	0-3	4-4	4	2	1	0	6
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	11	2-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jovan Stulic	Guard	11	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Trey Miller	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

86.9Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency86.9

-13.8Net Efficiency13.8

41.7%Effective FG%43.9%

46.0%True Shooting %53.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate17.5%

30.0%Free Throw Rate42.1%

46.7%3-Point Rate36.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.