Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%Illinois State

40.8%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -145

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 75

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreDrake 73

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricDrake

54.3MMH Power Index46.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

9.2Net Efficiency0.4

1.0Strength of Schedule0.3

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

67.5Tempo68.6

54.3%Effective FG%52.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

32.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

6.2Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–46.4), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–109.1), net efficiency (9.2–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.8), free throw rate (34.4–32.0).

Final

Illinois State

71—88

Drake

Drake by 17 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATDrake

26-54FG32-56

48.0%FG%57.0%

9-213PT12-25

43.0%3PT%48.0%

10-15FT12-22

67.0%FT%55.0%

24Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists16

13Turnovers8

6Steals3

—Blocks—

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Darius Burford	Guard	28	6-13	1-3	1-2	3	1	0	14
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	27	5-7	1-2	0-1	3	3	0	11
Dalton Banks	Guard	33	3-7	1-3	0-0	2	1	2	7
Kendall Lewis	Forward	22	1-4	1-3	3-4	4	0	0	6
Myles Foster	Forward	16	2-8	0-0	2-3	1	0	1	6
Luke Kasubke	Guard	12	1-2	0-1	4-4	2	0	0	6
Ryan Schmitt	Forward	4	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	1	2	6
Jordan Davis	Guard	14	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	5
Brandon Lieb	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	4
Johnny Kinziger	G	24	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	3
Ty Pence	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-1	0	0	0	3

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	30	8-14	3-5	3-4	4	6	1	22
Atin Wright	Guard	29	7-12	4-7	3-5	2	1	2	21
Conor Enright	G	25	4-5	2-3	0-0	3	2	0	10
Colby Garland	G	24	4-6	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	9
Kevin Overton	G	22	3-7	1-4	0-0	4	3	0	7
Darnell Brodie	Forward	19	3-4	0-0	1-3	5	1	0	7
Nate Ferguson	Forward	20	2-2	0-0	2-4	5	1	0	6
Kyron Gibson	Guard	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	3
Eric Northweather	Forward	6	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	2
Andrew Alia	G	5	0-0	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	1
Carlos Rosario	Forward	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0
Brashon Hall	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

104.0Offensive Efficiency128.8

128.8Defensive Efficiency104.0

-24.9Net Efficiency24.9

56.5%Effective FG%67.9%

58.1%True Shooting %66.2%

18.8%Turnover Rate11.9%

27.8%Free Throw Rate39.3%

38.9%3-Point Rate44.6%

0.69Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Drake won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.