Army

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Army

69.4%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -227

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArmy 71

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreLafayette 77

Team Comparison

ArmyMetricLafayette

36.8MMH Power Index39.6

104.8Offensive Efficiency102.9

112.1Defensive Efficiency110.3

-7.3Net Efficiency-7.4

-3.3Strength of Schedule-1.4

-10.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

68.9Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%49.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.4%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

26.5%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-5.1Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–36.8), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.1), strength of schedule (-1.4–-3.3), recent form (-6.4–-10.6).

Army COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.8–102.9), net efficiency (-7.3–-7.4), shooting efficiency (49.8–49.4).

Final

Army

47—52

Lafayette

Lafayette by 5 • 56.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArmyTEAM STATLafayette

16-45FG21-52

36.0%FG%40.0%

5-173PT3-13

29.0%3PT%23.0%

10-13FT7-10

77.0%FT%70.0%

32Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists10

14Turnovers8

5Steals8

8Blocks3

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Army

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Scovens	F	31	5-11	0-3	2-2	6	2	1	2	12
TJ Small	Guard	32	2-6	2-5	5-5	4	1	2	2	11
Ryan Curry	G	32	2-8	2-4	2-4	4	1	0	0	8
Charlie Peterson	Forward	30	3-10	0-1	1-2	10	2	2	1	7
Blake Barker	Guard	18	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Matt Dove	Forward	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	3	2
Dylan Blair	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jared Cross	Guard	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kendall Hailey	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
AJ Allenspach	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Butler	G	34	6-10	0-0	1-2	4	2	2	1	13
Justin Vander Baan	C	25	4-7	0-0	3-5	7	1	0	2	11
Devin Hines	G	35	3-10	1-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	7
Chris Rubayo	F	11	2-5	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	0	6
Ryan Pettit	G	26	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	3	0	5
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	30	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Eric Sondberg	Guard	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Joshua Wyche	F	10	1-2	0-0	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
Luka Savicevic	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Luke Rasmussen	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.0Possessions56.0

83.9Offensive Efficiency92.9

92.9Defensive Efficiency83.9

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

41.1%Effective FG%43.3%

45.9%True Shooting %45.8%

24.9%Turnover Rate14.3%

28.9%Free Throw Rate19.2%

37.8%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 56.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.