Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Louisville

67.0%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -203

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 75

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricVirginia

67.1MMH Power Index68.9

118.6Offensive Efficiency119.0

102.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

16.4Net Efficiency17.2

6.0Strength of Schedule5.2

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

71.0Tempo67.6

56.9%Effective FG%55.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

34.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

11.7Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–67.1), offensive efficiency (119.0–118.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–102.2), net efficiency (17.2–16.4).

Louisville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–5.2), shooting efficiency (56.9–55.0), free throw rate (34.1–33.2).

Final

Louisville

53—77

Virginia

Virginia by 24 • 56.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATVirginia

19-47FG30-58

40.0%FG%52.0%

6-253PT10-26

24.0%3PT%38.0%

9-13FT7-10

69.0%FT%70.0%

27Rebounds34

5Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists20

8Turnovers3

2Steals6

2Blocks4

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	26	5-12	4-10	0-0	0	0	0	0	14
Mike James	G	29	4-10	0-4	3-4	4	2	0	0	11
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	33	3-6	0-1	3-4	5	2	0	1	9
Skyy Clark	G	35	3-8	2-6	0-0	5	2	0	0	8
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	26	2-5	0-2	2-3	3	1	0	1	6
Danilo Jovanovich	F	25	2-5	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Hercy Miller	G	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Kaleb Glenn	F	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Zan Payne	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	19	7-11	4-7	0-0	2	2	0	0	18
Ryan Dunn	Forward	31	7-8	0-0	1-3	10	1	1	3	15
Taine Murray	Guard	18	5-6	2-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	12
Reece Beekman	Guard	31	4-7	1-3	2-3	1	8	3	0	11
Andrew Rohde	G	31	3-9	2-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Jacob Groves	Forward	34	2-8	1-5	2-2	9	1	0	0	7
Blake Buchanan	F	19	2-5	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	1	6
Leon Bond III	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	0
Elijah Gertrude	G	7	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jordan Minor	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.5Possessions56.5

93.8Offensive Efficiency136.3

136.3Defensive Efficiency93.8

-42.5Net Efficiency42.5

46.8%Effective FG%60.3%

49.8%True Shooting %61.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate5.3%

27.7%Free Throw Rate17.2%

53.2%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.25Assist / Turnover6.67

Game Summary

Virginia won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 56.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.