Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.6%Evansville

87.4%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -694

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 67

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreIndiana State 80

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricIndiana State

31.6MMH Power Index44.4

98.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

112.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

-13.9Net Efficiency-1.3

1.8Strength of Schedule0.1

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

68.0Tempo70.3

50.0%Effective FG%53.6%

18.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-9.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–31.6), offensive efficiency (104.7–98.5), defensive efficiency (106.0–112.4), net efficiency (-1.3–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.1), ball security (18.9–19.5), free throw rate (30.8–28.8).

Final

Evansville

73—87

Indiana State

Indiana State by 14 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATIndiana State

32-70FG29-60

46.0%FG%48.0%

8-193PT11-31

42.0%3PT%35.0%

1-4FT18-20

25.0%FT%90.0%

33Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists16

12Turnovers16

8Steals6

3Blocks—

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yacine Toumi	F	32	9-13	1-2	0-2	10	3	0	2	19
Kenny Strawbridge Jr.	Guard	32	6-11	2-3	1-2	1	4	2	0	15
Cam Haffner	G	29	4-10	3-6	0-0	5	1	0	0	11
Antonio Thomas	Guard	33	5-11	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	10
Joshua Hughes	F	27	4-10	1-3	0-0	5	3	1	1	9
Chuck Bailey III	G	18	3-11	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Tanner Cuff	G	20	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	2	3	0	3
Gage Bobe	Guard	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	38	7-13	4-7	0-0	5	0	2	18
Jayson Kent	Forward	35	5-8	0-3	8-9	8	1	2	18
Ryan Conwell	G	38	5-13	2-8	4-4	11	4	1	16
Robbie Avila	C	26	7-11	1-3	1-1	4	2	1	16
Xavier Bledson	Guard	22	4-9	4-7	0-0	1	3	0	12
Julian Larry	Guard	30	1-3	0-1	3-4	1	6	0	5
Jake Wolfe	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	2
Aaron Gray	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

96.4Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency96.4

-18.5Net Efficiency18.5

51.4%Effective FG%57.5%

50.8%True Shooting %62.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate20.9%

5.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

27.1%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.