Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.0%Rutgers

93.0%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio State -17.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.7

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio State -1329

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 66

Projected Total150.7

Projected ScoreOhio State 84

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricOhio State

45.9MMH Power Index64.5

104.2Offensive Efficiency118.1

112.2Defensive Efficiency108.1

-8.0Net Efficiency10.0

3.9Strength of Schedule6.4

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

67.4Tempo67.2

47.4%Effective FG%56.9%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

36.3%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-5.4Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–45.9), offensive efficiency (118.1–104.2), defensive efficiency (108.1–112.2), net efficiency (10.0–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–15.3).

Final

Rutgers

72—76

Ohio State

Ohio State by 4 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATOhio State

27-67FG28-60

40.0%FG%47.0%

6-243PT11-24

25.0%3PT%46.0%

12-14FT9-12

86.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists17

11Turnovers13

5Steals4

5Blocks3

13Fouls10

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derek Simpson	G	34	9-16	2-5	3-4	8	2	2	0	23
Noah Fernandes	Guard	27	7-13	1-6	2-2	5	0	0	0	17
Mawot Mag	Forward	33	4-12	1-4	2-2	2	0	0	1	11
Aundre Hyatt	Forward	23	4-9	1-4	0-0	10	2	0	0	9
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	28	2-6	0-0	3-4	7	1	1	2	7
Gavin Griffiths	G	16	1-8	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Austin Williams	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	1	2
Antwone Woolfolk	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Jamichael Davis	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Oskar Palmquist	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	38	9-15	2-6	4-6	4	7	1	0	24
Jamison Battle	Forward	35	8-12	6-9	0-0	4	0	1	0	22
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	35	4-15	1-4	2-2	7	2	0	0	11
Felix Okpara	F	25	2-3	0-0	3-4	7	1	1	1	7
Evan Mahaffey	F	21	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	2	4
Dale Bonner	Guard	16	1-6	1-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	3
Scotty Middleton	F	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	3
Zed Key	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Devin Royal	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

101.1Offensive Efficiency106.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency101.1

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

44.8%Effective FG%55.8%

48.9%True Shooting %57.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

20.9%Free Throw Rate20.0%

35.8%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Ohio State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.