Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%Dayton

43.5%Davidson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL141.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -130

Davidson

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 71

Projected Total141.7

Projected ScoreDavidson 71

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricDavidson

59.9MMH Power Index53

108.5Offensive Efficiency109.9

101.5Defensive Efficiency103.7

7.0Net Efficiency6.2

5.7Strength of Schedule0.1

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.6

68.3Tempo65.5

52.0%Effective FG%53.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

47.6%Free Throw Rate32.9%

4.8Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–53.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–103.7), net efficiency (7.0–6.2), strength of schedule (5.7–0.1).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.9–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0), ball security (15.6–16.9).

Final

Dayton

72—59

Davidson

Dayton by 13 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATDavidson

26-52FG21-54

50.0%FG%39.0%

7-213PT10-30

33.0%3PT%33.0%

13-22FT7-11

59.0%FT%64.0%

36Rebounds29

8Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists15

12Turnovers15

12Steals4

2Blocks2

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	33	5-11	0-2	8-12	4	1	1	2	18
Kobe Elvis	Guard	32	7-12	3-6	0-0	2	0	2	0	17
Nate Santos	Forward	34	6-11	3-5	1-2	7	1	1	0	16
Isaac Jack	F	7	3-4	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	7
Koby Brea	Guard	23	2-4	1-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	32	2-5	0-1	0-0	10	2	4	0	4
Javon Bennett	G	32	1-5	0-4	0-1	2	6	3	0	2
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	2

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bobby Durkin	F	34	4-14	4-11	2-2	6	1	0	0	14
Grant Huffman	Guard	33	4-8	0-2	0-1	3	5	3	0	8
Achile Spadone	Guard	18	2-5	2-3	2-2	3	2	0	0	8
Connor Kochera	Guard	27	2-5	1-2	1-2	6	3	0	0	6
Sean Logan	F	18	3-4	0-1	0-1	3	0	0	1	6
Reed Bailey	F	19	2-6	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Hunter Adam	G	14	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Rikus Schulte	F	11	1-2	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	4
Jarvis Moss	Guard	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Angelo Brizzi	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Riccardo Ghedini	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

107.6Offensive Efficiency88.2

88.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

19.4Net Efficiency-19.4

56.7%Effective FG%48.1%

57.6%True Shooting %49.8%

18.1%Turnover Rate22.3%

42.3%Free Throw Rate20.4%

40.4%3-Point Rate55.6%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Dayton won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.