Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Xavier

83.4%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -502

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 72

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreVillanova 84

Team Comparison

XavierMetricVillanova

49.5MMH Power Index59.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency114.7

112.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

-3.2Net Efficiency8.8

5.6Strength of Schedule4.4

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

71.7Tempo67.3

51.7%Effective FG%53.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.9%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-2.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–112.4), net efficiency (8.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–4.4), ball security (13.9–15.0).

Final

Xavier

65—66

Villanova

Villanova by 1 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATVillanova

25-68FG21-55

37.0%FG%38.0%

5-183PT10-30

28.0%3PT%33.0%

10-10FT14-18

100.0%FT%78.0%

41Rebounds38

15Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists10

8Turnovers12

9Steals—

3Blocks3

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Olivari	Guard	33	3-13	1-8	7-7	8	0	3	0	14
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	35	5-10	2-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	12
Desmond Claude	G	33	5-17	0-2	1-1	3	2	2	1	11
Abou Ousmane	Forward	24	5-9	0-0	1-1	6	1	0	1	11
Trey Green	G	13	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	6
Sasa Ciani	F	15	2-6	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Lazar Djokovic	F	10	1-2	0-1	1-1	1	2	0	0	3
Dailyn Swain	G	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	16	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
Kachi Nzeh	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Hakim Hart	Guard	30	5-9	1-4	3-4	5	3	1	14
Eric Dixon	Forward	31	2-7	1-3	8-10	9	1	0	13
Brendan Hausen	G	18	4-7	4-7	0-0	3	1	0	12
Jordan Longino	Guard	32	3-10	1-3	1-2	4	3	2	8
TJ Bamba	Guard	32	3-7	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	8
Mark Armstrong	Guard	20	3-8	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	6
Tyler Burton	Forward	18	1-7	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	3
Lance Ware	Forward	14	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	2
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Nnanna Njoku	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency99.7

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

40.4%Effective FG%47.3%

44.7%True Shooting %51.9%

12.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

14.7%Free Throw Rate32.7%

26.5%3-Point Rate54.5%

1.38Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Villanova won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.