NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%NC State

34.3%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -192

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 81

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 77

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricNotre Dame

60.1MMH Power Index49.7

118.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

108.6Defensive Efficiency111.2

9.8Net Efficiency-0.9

6.4Strength of Schedule4.7

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

70.2Tempo68.0

55.1%Effective FG%53.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

35.7%Free Throw Rate34.7%

6.9Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–49.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–110.3), defensive efficiency (108.6–111.2), net efficiency (9.8–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-11.6–-11.9), offensive rebounding (31.4–28.2).

Final

NC State

54—52

Notre Dame

NC State by 2 • 60.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATNotre Dame

19-66FG19-47

29.0%FG%40.0%

3-173PT7-19

18.0%3PT%37.0%

13-16FT7-10

81.0%FT%70.0%

42Rebounds37

17Offensive Rebounds5

5Assists8

4Turnovers13

4Steals2

2Blocks2

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Burns	Forward	24	6-15	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	0	13
Jayden Taylor	Guard	34	3-13	1-5	5-6	2	0	1	0	12
DJ Horne	Guard	30	3-14	2-5	0-0	5	1	1	0	8
Casey Morsell	Guard	35	3-10	0-3	1-2	4	0	0	1	7
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	16	1-4	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	4
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	15	2-5	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	12	0-1	0-1	4-4	6	0	0	1	4
Kam Woods	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Michael O'Connell	Guard	22	0-2	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	0
MJ Rice	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markus Burton	G	35	7-16	2-3	2-2	2	4	0	0	18
Tae Davis	F	31	3-9	1-3	0-1	3	0	1	0	7
Matt Zona	Forward	11	2-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
J.R. Konieczny	F	25	2-6	1-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	5
Carey Booth	F	15	2-5	0-3	1-2	5	0	0	0	5
Kebba Njie	F	29	0-1	0-0	4-4	11	0	0	1	4
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	19	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Julian Roper II	Guard	19	1-3	0-2	0-1	2	0	0	1	2
Logan Imes	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

60.2Possessions60.2

89.7Offensive Efficiency86.4

86.4Defensive Efficiency89.7

3.3Net Efficiency-3.3

31.1%Effective FG%47.9%

36.7%True Shooting %50.2%

6.6%Turnover Rate21.8%

24.2%Free Throw Rate21.3%

25.8%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

NC State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.