Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Northern Iowa

35.6%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL139.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -181

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 71

Projected Total139.3

Projected ScoreMissouri State 68

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricMissouri State

61MMH Power Index51.1

108.4Offensive Efficiency110.5

96.4Defensive Efficiency108.4

12.0Net Efficiency2.1

2.2Strength of Schedule0.5

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

64.1Tempo67.9

54.6%Effective FG%51.8%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

26.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

7.7Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–51.1), defensive efficiency (96.4–108.4), net efficiency (12.0–2.1), strength of schedule (2.2–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–108.4), offensive rebounding (33.0–21.9), free throw rate (42.9–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

64—62

Missouri State

Northern Iowa by 2 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATMissouri State

27-61FG23-53

44.0%FG%43.0%

3-153PT6-26

20.0%3PT%23.0%

7-11FT10-12

64.0%FT%83.0%

37Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds3

7Assists9

10Turnovers9

5Steals4

—Blocks8

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bowen Born	Guard	31	9-19	2-5	1-1	5	2	0	21
Jacob Hutson	Center	28	8-12	0-0	3-5	2	0	0	19
Tytan Anderson	Guard	33	3-9	0-2	2-3	8	1	3	8
Trey Campbell	G	32	3-5	0-1	0-0	9	3	1	6
Nate Heise	G	37	1-6	1-3	1-2	5	1	1	4
RJ Taylor	G	10	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	2
Cole Henry	Forward	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Michael Duax	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Kyle Pock	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Landon Wolf	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	29	11-16	1-5	2-3	8	0	1	0	25
Alston Mason	Guard	34	4-7	2-5	2-2	1	3	0	0	12
Nick Kramer	Guard	20	3-5	2-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	10
Donovan Clay	Guard	35	2-9	0-2	2-3	6	2	1	2	6
Matthew Lee	Guard	30	1-5	1-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Chance Moore	G	21	1-9	0-6	0-0	1	0	1	2	2
NJ Benson	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	4	2
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Tyler Bey	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Raphe Ayres	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

98.5Offensive Efficiency95.4

95.4Defensive Efficiency98.5

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

46.7%Effective FG%49.1%

48.3%True Shooting %52.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

18.0%Free Throw Rate22.6%

24.6%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.70Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.