South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%South Dakota State

64.0%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -178

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 76

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreWeber State 80

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricWeber State

49.6MMH Power Index50.2

110.6Offensive Efficiency113.6

106.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

3.7Net Efficiency5.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.4

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

68.2Tempo71.5

52.6%Effective FG%52.6%

16.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

30.3%Free Throw Rate38.3%

2.6Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–49.6), offensive efficiency (113.6–110.6), net efficiency (5.4–3.7), ball security (15.5–16.2).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–108.2), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.4), recent form (0.5–-1.8).

Final

South Dakota State

73—75

Weber State

Weber State by 2 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATWeber State

27-53FG28-60

51.0%FG%47.0%

9-223PT13-33

41.0%3PT%39.0%

10-13FT6-9

77.0%FT%67.0%

33Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists16

10Turnovers7

3Steals5

1Blocks3

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zeke Mayo	Guard	35	6-11	4-7	4-6	5	2	0	0	20
William Kyle III	F	20	7-8	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	0	15
Luke Appel	Forward	26	4-9	0-1	5-5	4	4	0	0	13
Matt Mims	Guard	24	3-6	3-5	0-0	4	2	0	0	9
Charlie Easley	Guard	36	2-9	2-7	0-0	5	2	2	0	6
Nate Barnhart	Forward	14	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	1	6
Matthew Mors	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Kalen Garry	G	34	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Bubz Alvarez	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dillon Jones	Forward	34	9-12	4-5	1-2	6	9	1	0	23
Blaise Threatt	Guard	36	6-10	4-4	1-2	5	1	2	0	17
Dyson Koehler	Forward	34	5-11	3-9	2-2	6	2	0	0	15
Alex Tew	Center	30	3-5	0-0	1-2	10	0	2	3	7
Viljami Vartiainen	G	16	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Arnaud Revaz	Forward	10	2-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Steven Verplancken	Guard	26	1-12	0-8	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
KJ Cunningham	Guard	11	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marko Šarenac	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

114.4Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency114.4

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

59.4%Effective FG%57.5%

61.7%True Shooting %58.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate10.9%

24.5%Free Throw Rate15.0%

41.5%3-Point Rate55.0%

1.70Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Weber State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.