Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Idaho State

70.4%Denver

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDenver -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDenver -238

Denver

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreDenver 84

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricDenver

45.9MMH Power Index49.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency119.2

113.4Defensive Efficiency119.2

-2.4Net Efficiency0.0

0.2Strength of Schedule-2.6

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.0

67.1Tempo69.5

52.2%Effective FG%55.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-1.6Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Denver HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDenver holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–45.9), offensive efficiency (119.2–111.0), net efficiency (0.0–-2.4), recent form (4.0–-9.6).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (113.4–119.2), strength of schedule (0.2–-2.6), offensive rebounding (33.9–30.9).

Final

Idaho State

82—95

Denver

Denver by 13 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATDenver

30-66FG33-55

45.0%FG%60.0%

8-253PT8-16

32.0%3PT%50.0%

14-19FT21-29

74.0%FT%72.0%

32Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists15

13Turnovers15

10Steals7

4Blocks3

25Fouls17

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Parker	Center	39	9-18	2-6	0-1	5	2	4	4	20
Miguel Tomley	Guard	40	7-15	4-10	1-2	8	2	1	0	19
Maleek Arington	G	38	5-9	0-1	8-10	3	6	3	0	18
Isaiah Griffin	F	42	3-9	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	9
Kiree Huie	F	28	2-5	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	0	7
Trent Johnson	F	20	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
AJ Burgin	Guard	12	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Jordan Hansen	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tommy Bruner	Guard	42	10-16	3-4	10-14	5	6	2	1	33
Touko Tainamo	Forward	40	8-13	1-3	1-4	8	1	2	0	18
Isaiah Carr	F	31	5-8	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	2	12
Jaxon Brenchley	Guard	31	2-4	1-2	5-6	3	3	0	0	10
DeAndre Craig Jr.	G	17	3-6	1-3	0-0	0	3	2	0	7
Pedro Lopez-Sanvicente	Forward	16	3-3	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	7
Isaiah Addo-Ankrah	Guard	28	1-3	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Tyson Garff	Guard	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Benjamin Bowen	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency124.3

124.3Defensive Efficiency107.3

-17.0Net Efficiency17.0

51.5%Effective FG%67.3%

54.6%True Shooting %69.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate19.5%

28.8%Free Throw Rate52.7%

37.9%3-Point Rate29.1%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Denver won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.