California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%California

40.0%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -150

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 79

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreUSC 78

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricUSC

56.5MMH Power Index48.3

111.8Offensive Efficiency108.5

104.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

7.0Net Efficiency0.9

2.8Strength of Schedule2.5

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

69.9Tempo72.4

52.6%Effective FG%50.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

4.9Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (111.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.6), net efficiency (7.0–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–26.6), free throw rate (45.3–36.8).

Final

California

74—82

USC

USC by 8 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATUSC

28-61FG33-62

46.0%FG%53.0%

12-313PT11-28

39.0%3PT%39.0%

6-9FT5-7

67.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds7

21Assists29

15Turnovers13

10Steals7

1Blocks3

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	36	10-16	3-5	0-0	7	2	3	0	23
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	33	5-13	3-5	0-0	4	1	2	0	13
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	23	3-6	3-6	4-4	2	3	0	0	13
Jalen Celestine	G	25	4-5	2-3	1-1	2	2	0	1	11
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	33	3-8	0-3	1-3	8	8	3	0	7
Jalen Cone	Guard	24	2-8	1-6	0-1	1	3	1	0	5
Grant Newell	F	18	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Devin Curtis	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Gus Larson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boogie Ellis	Guard	34	7-12	1-4	0-2	8	7	2	0	15
Kobe Johnson	Guard	31	5-10	4-7	0-0	7	5	0	1	14
Isaiah Collier	Guard	30	6-12	0-5	1-1	1	7	1	0	13
DJ Rodman	Forward	25	4-8	3-6	0-0	3	0	0	1	11
Bronny James	Guard	18	4-6	0-1	2-2	2	3	1	0	10
Harrison Hornery	Forward	19	2-4	2-3	2-2	4	3	1	0	8
Joshua Morgan	Forward	24	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	1	6
Oziyah Sellers	G	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

103.8Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

-11.2Net Efficiency11.2

55.7%Effective FG%62.1%

56.7%True Shooting %62.8%

21.0%Turnover Rate18.2%

14.8%Free Throw Rate11.3%

50.8%3-Point Rate45.2%

1.40Assist / Turnover2.23

Game Summary

USC won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.