Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Elon

80.7%William & Mary

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWilliam & Mary -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL162.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWilliam & Mary -418

William & Mary

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 76

Projected Total162.6

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 86

Team Comparison

ElonMetricWilliam & Mary

45.5MMH Power Index53.8

113.0Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

0.3Net Efficiency7.3

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.5

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

69.1Tempo73.9

52.6%Effective FG%55.3%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.0%Free Throw Rate45.3%

0.3Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

William & Mary HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWilliam & Mary holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–45.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–112.7), net efficiency (7.3–0.3), recent form (3.5–-13.7).

Elon COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.0–112.5), strength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5), ball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

Elon

70—77

William & Mary

William & Mary by 7 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATWilliam & Mary

28-64FG27-51

44.0%FG%53.0%

7-243PT6-21

29.0%3PT%29.0%

7-11FT17-22

64.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists15

7Turnovers11

7Steals3

2Blocks2

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Higgins	Guard	38	8-16	2-6	1-2	5	3	2	0	19
Max Mackinnon	G	33	6-14	2-5	0-0	6	1	0	0	14
Nick Dorn	G	20	4-9	1-5	4-5	2	2	2	0	13
LA Pratt	G	24	3-7	0-2	1-2	1	3	1	1	7
Deandre Smart	Forward	24	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Sam Sherry	Forward	18	2-6	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1	5
Zac Ervin	Guard	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Ned Hull	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Kendall Campbell	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Isaac Harrell	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Lowe	G	32	5-9	0-0	8-11	12	2	0	0	18
Charlie Williams	C	23	7-10	2-3	2-2	7	2	0	0	18
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	37	4-7	3-6	2-3	3	1	1	1	13
Trey Moss	G	36	5-7	0-2	2-2	4	6	1	0	12
Matteus Case	Guard	23	2-5	0-1	3-4	2	1	0	0	7
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	30	3-8	0-4	0-0	6	3	1	1	6
Sean Houpt	Guard	15	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Miles Hicks	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

107.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency107.9

-10.8Net Efficiency10.8

49.2%Effective FG%58.8%

50.6%True Shooting %62.7%

10.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

17.2%Free Throw Rate43.1%

37.5%3-Point Rate41.2%

1.57Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

William & Mary won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.