Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.7%Penn State

97.3%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -24.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -3604

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 64

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreMichigan State 88

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricMichigan State

42.3MMH Power Index69.8

109.2Offensive Efficiency117.0

117.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

-8.4Net Efficiency15.5

5.3Strength of Schedule7.2

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.5Tempo67.3

53.4%Effective FG%54.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-5.7Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–42.3), offensive efficiency (117.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–117.6), net efficiency (15.5–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–17.2).

Final

Penn State

61—92

Michigan State

Michigan State by 31 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATMichigan State

20-62FG36-64

32.0%FG%56.0%

3-293PT10-21

10.0%3PT%48.0%

18-22FT10-13

82.0%FT%77.0%

36Rebounds40

14Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists25

16Turnovers12

4Steals13

5Blocks3

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kanye Clary	G	33	5-10	1-3	10-10	2	5	1	0	21
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	22	4-6	0-0	2-3	4	0	2	1	10
Qudus Wahab	Forward	22	3-3	0-0	2-3	8	0	0	1	8
Zach Hicks	Forward	20	2-6	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Puff Johnson	G	19	1-7	1-3	2-2	5	0	0	0	5
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	19	2-7	0-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Bragi Gudmundsson	Guard	2	2-3	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	1	4
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	24	0-7	0-2	2-2	2	3	0	1	2
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Demetrius Lilley	C	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Jameel Brown	G	7	0-7	0-7	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Dan Conlan	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Favour Aire	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Hall	Forward	27	9-12	2-2	4-5	5	4	3	0	24
Tyson Walker	Guard	29	9-14	3-4	1-2	3	5	6	0	22
Jaden Akins	Guard	23	3-8	2-5	2-2	2	4	1	0	10
Tre Holloman	G	23	5-7	0-1	0-0	1	6	0	0	10
AJ Hoggard	Guard	21	4-7	2-4	0-0	2	4	0	1	10
Mady Sissoko	Center	21	2-4	0-0	1-1	12	0	0	0	5
Xavier Booker	C	15	2-6	1-3	0-1	3	0	0	0	5
Coen Carr	F	19	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Davis Smith	Guard	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Carson Cooper	C	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	1	0
Nick Sanders	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Steven Izzo	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

82.5Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency82.5

-41.9Net Efficiency41.9

34.7%Effective FG%64.1%

42.1%True Shooting %65.6%

21.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

35.5%Free Throw Rate20.3%

46.8%3-Point Rate32.8%

0.63Assist / Turnover2.08

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.