Youngstown State

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Youngstown State

78.8%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -372

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreYoungstown State 73

Projected Total155.9

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 82

Team Comparison

Youngstown StateMetricNorthern Kentucky

46.7MMH Power Index53.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

107.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

4.5Net Efficiency7.8

-5.6Strength of Schedule-2.9

1.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

66.7Tempo72.3

54.9%Effective FG%54.5%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

32.3%Free Throw Rate37.1%

3.0Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–46.7), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), net efficiency (7.8–4.5), strength of schedule (-2.9–-5.6).

Youngstown State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (54.9–54.5).

Final

Youngstown State

76—79

Northern Kentucky

Northern Kentucky by 3 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Youngstown StateTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

26-54FG28-62

48.0%FG%45.0%

13-293PT8-21

45.0%3PT%38.0%

11-14FT15-19

79.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists16

15Turnovers7

4Steals11

3Blocks3

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Youngstown State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Rush	Guard	39	6-15	4-11	3-3	10	1	1	0	19
DJ Burns	Forward	28	5-8	2-3	2-2	8	4	1	1	14
Brett Thompson	Guard	37	3-7	2-4	2-2	4	4	1	0	10
Bryson Langdon	Guard	26	4-8	2-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	10
Jaylen Bates	Forward	11	2-4	2-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	8
Ziggy Reid	Forward	21	3-8	1-5	0-1	2	4	0	0	7
Gabe Dynes	C	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	4
John Lovelace Jr.	G	19	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Imanuel Zorgvol	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	39	9-16	5-10	6-6	1	3	3	0	29
Keeyan Itejere	F	31	8-10	0-0	3-5	9	0	0	3	19
LJ Wells	F	28	4-4	0-0	4-6	3	0	1	0	12
Michael Bradley	Guard	39	3-14	1-6	2-2	5	11	1	0	9
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	22	2-8	1-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
Randall Pettus II	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
Trey Robinson	Guard	18	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	2	3	0	2
Cade Meyer	Forward	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

112.8Offensive Efficiency117.2

117.2Defensive Efficiency112.8

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

60.2%Effective FG%51.6%

62.7%True Shooting %55.6%

22.2%Turnover Rate10.4%

25.9%Free Throw Rate30.6%

53.7%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.