Cleveland State

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.2%Cleveland State

93.8%Wright State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWright State -19.0

PROJECTED TOTAL164.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWright State -1513

Wright State

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCleveland State 73

Projected Total164.4

Projected ScoreWright State 92

Team Comparison

Cleveland StateMetricWright State

37.3MMH Power Index57.1

111.6Offensive Efficiency116.4

120.2Defensive Efficiency106.5

-8.6Net Efficiency9.9

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

-14.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

71.5Tempo69.2

55.0%Effective FG%55.2%

18.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

38.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-6.2Average Margin6.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–37.3), offensive efficiency (116.4–111.6), defensive efficiency (106.5–120.2), net efficiency (9.9–-8.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.0), free throw rate (38.7–38.3).

Final

Cleveland State

70—82

Wright State

Wright State by 12 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cleveland StateTEAM STATWright State

28-72FG33-55

39.0%FG%60.0%

9-273PT8-16

33.0%3PT%50.0%

5-13FT8-10

38.0%FT%80.0%

33Rebounds38

17Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists22

9Turnovers18

12Steals2

2Blocks4

12Fouls8

Player Box Score

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Robinson	Guard	23	6-12	3-4	0-0	3	1	3	0	15
Tae Williams	Guard	22	7-12	0-0	1-5	7	1	2	0	15
Drew Lowder	Guard	25	5-14	3-10	1-1	0	1	1	0	14
Tristan Enaruna	Forward	25	3-11	1-3	1-4	3	1	2	0	8
Tevin Smith	Guard	26	3-8	1-3	0-0	5	2	2	1	7
Jayson Woodrich	Guard	21	1-5	1-5	2-3	1	0	1	0	5
Dylan Arnett	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Ramar Pryor	Guard	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jalin Rice	G	18	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	1	0
T.J. Moss	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dok Muordar	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Noel	F	37	10-12	2-3	2-2	9	2	0	2	24
Trey Calvin	Guard	37	7-13	4-6	2-2	1	0	2	0	20
AJ Braun	Forward	21	8-9	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	2	16
Alex Huibregtse	G	34	3-7	1-4	2-2	5	8	0	0	9
Tanner Holden	Guard	37	2-7	0-1	2-3	8	7	0	0	6
Drey Carter	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	4
Kaden Brown	G	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Andrew Welage	Guard	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

100.0Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency100.0

-17.1Net Efficiency17.1

45.1%Effective FG%67.3%

44.8%True Shooting %68.6%

12.8%Turnover Rate25.8%

18.1%Free Throw Rate18.2%

37.5%3-Point Rate29.1%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Wright State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.