North Florida

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%North Florida

71.5%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStetson -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL165.0

MODEL MONEYLINEStetson -251

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 79

Projected Total165.0

Projected ScoreStetson 86

Team Comparison

North FloridaMetricStetson

36.3MMH Power Index40

109.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

121.1Defensive Efficiency115.9

-11.7Net Efficiency-8.7

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.0

-9.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

72.8Tempo68.7

53.6%Effective FG%53.8%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

29.5%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-8.6Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stetson HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStetson holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (40.0–36.3), defensive efficiency (115.9–121.1), net efficiency (-8.7–-11.7), recent form (-2.9–-9.3).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.4–107.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.0), ball security (17.2–18.3).

Final

North Florida

74—75

Stetson

Stetson by 1 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North FloridaTEAM STATStetson

27-61FG24-55

44.0%FG%44.0%

13-303PT8-21

43.0%3PT%38.0%

7-10FT19-20

70.0%FT%95.0%

31Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists9

7Turnovers8

5Steals3

3Blocks3

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Lliteras	Guard	28	7-14	4-7	0-0	5	1	1	2	18
Chaz Lanier	Guard	37	5-12	1-6	3-4	6	3	0	0	14
Jake van der Heijden	Forward	18	4-7	4-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	12
Jasai Miles	G	30	3-7	3-6	2-2	2	1	0	0	11
Dorian James	Guard	30	4-9	1-2	1-2	6	2	0	1	10
Ametri Moss	G	22	4-8	0-2	1-2	1	1	2	0	9
Jaylen Smith	G	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Max Hrdlicka	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Trent Coleman	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	34	6-12	3-3	6-6	4	2	1	0	21
Alec Oglesby	G	37	5-11	3-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	13
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	34	3-13	0-7	4-4	2	1	2	0	10
Aubin Gateretse	Center	29	3-4	0-0	4-4	13	1	0	2	10
Josh Smith	F	11	3-5	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	1	9
Cyncier Harrison	G	17	2-4	2-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	8
Treyton Thompson	Forward	15	2-5	0-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Tristan Gross	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Alex Doyle	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

117.1Offensive Efficiency118.7

118.7Defensive Efficiency117.1

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

54.9%Effective FG%50.9%

56.3%True Shooting %58.1%

11.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

16.4%Free Throw Rate36.4%

49.2%3-Point Rate38.2%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Stetson won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.