Coastal Carolina

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Coastal Carolina

69.0%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -223

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCoastal Carolina 70

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreTexas State 76

Team Comparison

Coastal CarolinaMetricTexas State

46.8MMH Power Index49.4

104.0Offensive Efficiency107.7

103.0Defensive Efficiency103.4

1.0Net Efficiency4.3

-1.3Strength of Schedule-4.7

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.5Tempo68.6

48.7%Effective FG%51.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.4%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

33.0%Free Throw Rate36.0%

0.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–46.8), offensive efficiency (107.7–104.0), net efficiency (4.3–1.0), recent form (9.1–-2.0).

Coastal Carolina COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.0–103.4), strength of schedule (-1.3–-4.7), ball security (15.3–18.4).

Final

Coastal Carolina

71—63

Texas State

Coastal Carolina by 8 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Coastal CarolinaTEAM STATTexas State

26-57FG23-68

46.0%FG%34.0%

4-133PT5-20

31.0%3PT%25.0%

15-19FT12-17

79.0%FT%71.0%

46Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists16

16Turnovers8

6Steals7

7Blocks3

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Coastal Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayon Freeman	Guard	18	4-9	1-3	6-6	2	2	1	0	15
Jimmy Nichols	Forward	25	4-7	1-1	2-3	4	1	1	0	11
Jacob Meyer	G	35	5-11	0-1	0-2	3	3	0	1	10
Kylan Blackmon	G	37	3-8	0-2	3-4	2	3	2	1	9
Jon Sanders II	G	26	2-4	1-2	4-4	2	1	0	0	9
Braeden MacVicar	F	15	3-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Ginika Ojiako	Center	20	3-6	0-0	0-0	11	0	1	3	6
Jaland Whitehead	Forward	14	2-5	0-0	0-0	13	0	0	1	4
Ian Granja	Forward	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Miroslav Stafl	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleton Benson	G	23	4-12	2-10	5-5	2	3	0	0	15
Jordan Mason	G	35	4-16	0-0	1-1	5	6	0	1	9
Dylan Dawson	Guard	33	3-11	3-6	0-0	1	2	0	0	9
Davion Sykes	G	16	4-6	0-1	0-0	4	0	3	0	8
Kaden Gumbs	G	28	2-4	0-0	3-5	3	4	3	0	7
Brandon Love	Forward	24	3-7	0-0	1-2	7	0	0	0	7
Christian Turner	Forward	23	3-8	0-2	1-2	5	0	0	1	7
Joshua O'Garro	G	5	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Chris Nix	Forward	13	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

102.0Offensive Efficiency90.5

90.5Defensive Efficiency102.0

11.5Net Efficiency-11.5

49.1%Effective FG%37.5%

53.8%True Shooting %41.4%

23.2%Turnover Rate11.4%

33.3%Free Throw Rate25.0%

22.8%3-Point Rate29.4%

0.63Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Coastal Carolina won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.