Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%Georgia Southern

81.3%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -435

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 77

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreArkansas State 88

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricArkansas State

49.1MMH Power Index57.7

112.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

110.6Defensive Efficiency105.3

1.7Net Efficiency7.8

-2.2Strength of Schedule-1.0

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

72.0Tempo73.3

52.1%Effective FG%52.7%

14.5%Turnover Rate19.4%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

39.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.2Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–49.1), offensive efficiency (113.1–112.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.6), net efficiency (7.8–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHball security (14.5–19.4).

Final

Georgia Southern

83—109

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 26 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATArkansas State

28-62FG37-65

45.0%FG%57.0%

10-203PT15-29

50.0%3PT%52.0%

17-25FT20-26

68.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds40

14Offensive Rebounds16

10Assists22

10Turnovers8

5Steals4

4Blocks5

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eren Banks	G	27	6-10	3-4	0-1	2	1	0	1	15
Jamar Franklin	G	25	4-8	3-7	2-2	2	1	2	0	13
Nate Brafford	F	20	4-4	1-1	2-2	4	1	0	1	11
Tyren Moore	G	20	4-11	0-2	3-3	1	0	0	0	11
Derrick Harris Jr.	Guard	15	4-9	2-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	11
Cam Bryant	Forward	28	4-8	1-2	0-0	4	1	2	1	9
Avantae Parker	F	12	1-4	0-0	6-9	6	2	0	1	8
Malik Tidwell	Guard	15	1-5	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Collin Kuhl	F	14	0-0	0-0	2-4	3	1	1	0	2
David Jones	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Eugene Brown III	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	36	8-16	3-8	7-9	12	3	0	1	26
Taryn Todd	Guard	26	8-12	2-4	2-2	2	8	0	0	20
Avery Felts	Guard	35	5-9	4-8	1-1	4	2	0	0	15
Derrian Ford	G	24	4-9	3-5	4-4	7	1	1	0	15
Izaiyah Nelson	F	18	5-7	1-1	1-2	2	1	1	1	12
Zane Butler	Guard	9	2-2	2-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
Caleb Fields	Guard	24	2-6	0-0	3-6	3	7	0	0	7
Lado Laku	Forward	17	3-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	2	6
Julian Lual	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Noah McDavid	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
LaQuill Hardnett	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

119.1Offensive Efficiency156.4

156.4Defensive Efficiency119.1

-37.3Net Efficiency37.3

53.2%Effective FG%68.5%

56.2%True Shooting %70.5%

14.3%Turnover Rate11.5%

40.3%Free Throw Rate40.0%

32.3%3-Point Rate44.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.