App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%App State

54.9%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL141.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -122

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 70

Projected Total141.0

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 71

Team Comparison

App StateMetricSouth Alabama

54.2MMH Power Index51.4

110.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

101.7Defensive Efficiency103.9

9.2Net Efficiency6.4

-4.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

64.9Tempo67.4

51.1%Effective FG%53.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate12.8%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

39.8%Free Throw Rate39.8%

6.0Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–51.4), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.3), defensive efficiency (101.7–103.9), net efficiency (9.2–6.4).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.7–-4.2), shooting efficiency (53.2–51.1), ball security (12.8–15.2).

Final

App State

91—84

South Alabama

App State by 7 • 79.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATSouth Alabama

36-64FG33-74

56.0%FG%45.0%

5-143PT7-23

36.0%3PT%30.0%

14-22FT11-12

64.0%FT%92.0%

37Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists11

12Turnovers10

6Steals8

4Blocks2

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre'Von Spillers	F	31	11-13	0-0	1-2	9	1	0	0	23
Terence Harcum	Guard	24	6-7	3-3	0-0	2	3	2	0	15
CJ Huntley	Forward	29	5-7	0-1	4-4	3	1	1	0	14
Myles Tate	Guard	38	6-14	0-3	1-5	5	4	1	0	13
Donovan Gregory	Forward	37	3-10	0-1	7-7	5	3	0	2	13
Christopher Mantis	Forward	23	2-7	2-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Justin Abson	F	28	2-4	0-0	1-4	6	2	0	1	5
Jordan Marsh	G	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Xavion Brown	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	4	2	1	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	42	11-23	2-5	5-6	2	4	2	0	29
Tyrell Jones	Guard	42	6-15	2-5	5-5	5	4	2	0	19
Thomas Howell	Forward	38	5-7	0-1	0-0	10	1	1	0	10
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	27	4-5	1-2	1-1	5	0	2	2	10
Marcus Millender	G	29	3-12	0-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Julian Margrave	F	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Ethan Kizer	F	20	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Marshall Kearing	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Samuel Tabe	Guard	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.1Possessions79.1

115.0Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency115.0

8.8Net Efficiency-8.8

60.2%Effective FG%49.3%

61.1%True Shooting %52.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate12.7%

34.4%Free Throw Rate16.2%

21.9%3-Point Rate31.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

App State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 79.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.