California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%California Baptist

64.5%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -182

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 69

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 76

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricUtah Valley

58.3MMH Power Index59.1

106.5Offensive Efficiency113.4

99.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.5Net Efficiency16.1

1.8Strength of Schedule-3.3

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

68.2Tempo70.6

48.8%Effective FG%56.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

5.1Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–58.3), offensive efficiency (113.4–106.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–99.0), net efficiency (16.1–7.5).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-3.3), recent form (11.0–6.8), ball security (17.9–19.9).

Final

California Baptist

58—65

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 7 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATUtah Valley

20-58FG21-50

34.0%FG%42.0%

8-243PTnull-8

33.0%3PT%0.0%

10-17FT23-29

59.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists15

9Turnovers13

7Steals7

4Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	37	7-16	4-9	2-3	0	3	1	0	20
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	35	4-11	3-6	2-2	1	1	2	1	13
Yvan Ouedraogo	Forward	34	4-8	0-0	3-8	13	0	0	1	11
Hunter Goodrick	Forward	25	2-8	0-1	3-4	8	2	0	0	7
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno	Guard	35	2-7	1-6	0-0	0	4	2	0	5
Kendal Coleman	Forward	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	2	2
Scotty Washington	G	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jonathan Griman	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Tylen Riley	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drake Allen	G	31	5-9	0-0	7-8	3	2	3	0	17
Trevin Dorius	Center	31	3-6	0-0	6-9	15	5	1	1	12
Jaden McClanahan	Guard	32	4-7	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	0	10
Osiris Grady	F	26	3-5	0-0	3-4	2	1	0	1	9
Caleb Stone-Carrawell	Forward	27	4-10	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	8
Tanner Toolson	G	26	1-8	0-4	3-3	1	1	0	0	5
Nate Tshimanga	Forward	17	1-3	0-0	2-3	10	3	0	1	4
K'mani Doughty	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trevan Leonhardt	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

92.1Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency92.1

-11.1Net Efficiency11.1

41.4%Effective FG%42.0%

43.9%True Shooting %51.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate20.7%

29.3%Free Throw Rate58.0%

41.4%3-Point Rate16.0%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.