Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.9%Tennessee State

18.1%Southern Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -452

Southern Indiana

7-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 78

Projected Total146.8

Projected ScoreSouthern Indiana 69

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricSouthern Indiana

55.4MMH Power Index37.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency99.2

102.7Defensive Efficiency106.5

8.2Net Efficiency-7.3

-3.1Strength of Schedule-2.0

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.1

72.4Tempo66.7

50.9%Effective FG%45.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %32.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

5.9Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–37.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–99.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–106.5), net efficiency (8.2–-7.3).

Southern Indiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.0–-3.1), free throw rate (37.9–34.7).

Final

Tennessee State

67—69

Southern Indiana

Southern Indiana by 2 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATSouthern Indiana

22-57FG20-52

39.0%FG%38.0%

5-203PT6-19

25.0%3PT%32.0%

18-21FT23-34

86.0%FT%68.0%

37Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists11

19Turnovers14

4Steals10

3Blocks2

28Fouls19

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
EJ Bellinger	Guard	35	5-15	2-7	4-4	5	0	1	0	16
Justin Williams	Guard	22	4-6	1-2	4-4	3	1	0	0	13
Christian Brown	Guard	28	3-11	1-4	5-6	7	2	0	1	12
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	20	4-7	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	2	10
Jaylen Jones	G	25	3-7	1-3	0-1	5	2	1	0	7
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	29	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	2	0	6
Michael Shanks	Forward	17	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Denim Dawson	Guard	13	0-3	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Emmanuel Dowuona	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Knute Wood	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	32	5-11	0-2	10-12	2	0	3	0	20
AJ Smith	F	36	4-12	2-5	5-6	10	1	2	1	15
Jack Mielke	Forward	38	3-7	3-7	0-0	10	3	4	0	9
Kiyron Powell	Center	14	3-3	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	1	7
Jack Campion	G	22	1-1	0-0	4-4	1	3	0	0	6
Nick Hittle	F	17	2-7	0-1	2-3	4	1	1	0	6
Ryan Hall	Guard	11	2-8	1-4	1-3	1	0	0	0	6
Sam Mervis	Guard	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Nolan Causwell	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Javius Moore	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

94.2Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency94.2

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

43.0%Effective FG%44.2%

50.0%True Shooting %50.6%

26.0%Turnover Rate20.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate65.4%

35.1%3-Point Rate36.5%

0.37Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Southern Indiana won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.