Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Cal State Fullerton

81.9%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -452

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 73

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 85

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC Irvine

49.4MMH Power Index58.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency106.9

107.1Defensive Efficiency95.0

1.7Net Efficiency11.9

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.0

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

76.3Tempo72.3

52.6%Effective FG%50.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.6%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

1.3Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–49.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–107.1), net efficiency (11.9–1.7), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–106.9), shooting efficiency (52.6–50.7), ball security (15.1–17.6).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

67—75

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 8 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC Irvine

20-55FG26-51

36.0%FG%51.0%

7-223PT7-17

32.0%3PT%41.0%

20-23FT16-22

87.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists16

13Turnovers10

5Steals5

1Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	39	6-13	1-5	6-8	8	3	2	0	19
Donovan Oday	G	20	4-6	3-4	2-2	4	1	1	0	13
Grayson Carper	Guard	30	3-9	3-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Max Jones	Guard	20	1-7	0-2	7-8	5	0	1	0	9
Zachary Visentin	Center	13	2-4	0-0	3-3	3	0	0	0	7
John Mikey Square	Not Available	18	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Vincent Lee	Forward	13	1-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Beril Kabamba	Forward	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Kendrick De Luna	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Hohn	Guard	32	6-11	3-6	2-2	1	3	1	0	17
Derin Saran	G	18	7-12	2-3	1-1	1	1	1	0	17
Pierre Crockrell II	Guard	28	6-8	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	12
Bent Leuchten	Center	17	1-5	1-1	7-8	4	1	0	0	10
Devin Tillis	F	27	2-3	1-1	3-3	5	4	1	0	8
Dean Keeler	Forward	13	3-3	0-0	1-3	3	2	0	1	7
Andre Henry	G	28	1-5	0-2	0-3	4	1	0	1	2
Dylan Thoerner	Guard	6	0-3	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Carter Welling	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	1	0
Ofure Ujadughele	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Langston Redfield	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Welling	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency113.3

113.3Defensive Efficiency101.2

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

42.7%Effective FG%57.8%

50.8%True Shooting %61.0%

19.1%Turnover Rate15.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate43.1%

40.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.54Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.