Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.9%Saint Mary's

5.1%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -17.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1861

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 83

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreSan Diego 65

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricSan Diego

70.7MMH Power Index39.8

116.7Offensive Efficiency106.2

97.4Defensive Efficiency111.1

19.3Net Efficiency-4.9

3.0Strength of Schedule-1.2

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

66.3Tempo70.1

53.1%Effective FG%52.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate26.3%

12.8Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–39.8), offensive efficiency (116.7–106.2), defensive efficiency (97.4–111.1), net efficiency (19.3–-4.9).

Final

Saint Mary's

81—70

San Diego

Saint Mary's by 11 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATSan Diego

27-51FG25-53

53.0%FG%47.0%

10-253PT7-15

40.0%3PT%47.0%

17-20FT13-16

85.0%FT%81.0%

26Rebounds24

7Offensive Rebounds8

21Assists10

15Turnovers19

13Steals10

5Blocks1

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	40	8-11	4-7	5-6	1	6	3	0	25
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	38	5-8	2-3	4-4	2	10	3	0	16
Mitchell Saxen	Center	35	5-9	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	4	14
Luke Barrett	Forward	26	4-7	3-5	3-4	7	1	1	0	14
Joshua Jefferson	F	22	4-7	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Alex Ducas	Guard	29	1-8	1-8	1-2	6	1	4	1	4
Harry Wessels	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chris Howell	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jordan Ross	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deuce Turner	G	34	11-18	4-7	8-9	1	2	0	0	34
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	28	5-9	1-3	1-1	0	2	3	0	12
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	23	3-3	2-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	9
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	23	4-10	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	8
Dragos Lungu	G	21	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	0	4
Steven Jamerson II	F	28	1-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	2	0	2
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	14	0-4	0-1	1-2	6	0	0	0	1
Dominic Muncey	Guard	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Deven Dahlke	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

115.5Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency115.5

15.7Net Efficiency-15.7

62.7%Effective FG%53.8%

66.9%True Shooting %57.8%

21.9%Turnover Rate26.5%

39.2%Free Throw Rate30.2%

49.0%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.40Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.