Pittsburgh

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Pittsburgh

91.4%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -17.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -1063

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePittsburgh 67

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreLouisville 84

Team Comparison

PittsburghMetricLouisville

50.5MMH Power Index67.1

108.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

110.4Defensive Efficiency102.2

-2.0Net Efficiency16.4

5.5Strength of Schedule6.0

-6.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

65.0Tempo71.0

51.4%Effective FG%56.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

31.2%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-1.3Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–50.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–108.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–110.4), net efficiency (16.4–-2.0).

Pittsburgh COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.1–32.3).

Final

Pittsburgh

83—70

Louisville

Pittsburgh by 13 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PittsburghTEAM STATLouisville

26-57FG24-47

46.0%FG%51.0%

12-343PT10-21

35.0%3PT%48.0%

19-21FT12-14

90.0%FT%86.0%

28Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists15

11Turnovers18

9Steals4

2Blocks3

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blake Hinson	Forward	34	5-14	3-9	8-8	3	0	1	0	21
Zack Austin	Forward	38	7-13	4-9	2-2	3	3	4	1	20
Bub Carrington	Guard	40	6-10	2-5	2-2	6	5	1	1	16
Jaland Lowe	G	27	3-6	2-3	1-2	6	3	1	0	9
Jorge Diaz Graham	F	14	1-4	1-4	5-5	0	1	0	0	8
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	27	2-6	0-3	1-2	6	2	1	0	5
Federiko Federiko	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Will Jeffress	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike James	G	37	8-12	5-7	2-2	4	2	2	1	23
Skyy Clark	G	34	3-8	1-3	4-4	6	2	0	1	11
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	24	4-8	2-5	1-2	1	2	0	1	11
Kaleb Glenn	F	23	5-7	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	10
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	32	2-7	1-4	2-2	5	6	1	0	7
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	30	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	3
Hercy Miller	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Danilo Jovanovich	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Zan Payne	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

125.0Offensive Efficiency105.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency125.0

19.6Net Efficiency-19.6

56.1%Effective FG%61.7%

62.0%True Shooting %65.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate27.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate29.8%

59.6%3-Point Rate44.7%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Pittsburgh won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.