St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.9%St. John's

33.1%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -202

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 78

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreVillanova 74

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricVillanova

70.3MMH Power Index59.4

114.4Offensive Efficiency114.7

97.6Defensive Efficiency105.9

16.8Net Efficiency8.8

5.5Strength of Schedule4.4

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

70.9Tempo67.3

51.3%Effective FG%53.9%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.1%Free Throw Rate31.4%

11.9Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–59.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.9), net efficiency (16.8–8.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.4).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–114.4), shooting efficiency (53.9–51.3).

Final

St. John's

81—71

Villanova

St. John's by 10 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATVillanova

29-61FG26-67

48.0%FG%39.0%

7-163PT6-28

44.0%3PT%21.0%

16-21FT13-17

76.0%FT%76.0%

39Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists14

12Turnovers11

7Steals9

3Blocks4

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Soriano	Center	35	7-10	0-1	6-8	8	3	1	0	20
Daniss Jenkins	Guard	35	7-17	2-5	2-4	3	5	3	1	18
Brady Dunlap	F	31	5-8	3-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	15
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	19	3-8	1-1	4-4	7	1	1	0	11
Jordan Dingle	Guard	26	3-7	1-3	2-3	3	2	1	0	9
Glenn Taylor Jr.	Forward	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Nahiem Alleyne	Guard	19	1-4	0-1	0-0	5	4	1	0	2
Zuby Ejiofor	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Sean Conway	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Simeon Wilcher	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Bamba	Guard	33	8-14	2-6	5-6	7	1	4	1	23
Eric Dixon	Forward	32	4-18	2-10	4-5	4	1	3	1	14
Mark Armstrong	Guard	29	6-10	1-2	1-1	3	4	0	0	14
Hakim Hart	Guard	23	3-7	0-2	0-0	5	3	1	0	6
Brendan Hausen	G	24	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Tyler Burton	Forward	19	1-6	0-2	1-1	4	1	0	0	3
Jordan Longino	Guard	22	1-6	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	2-4	3	2	0	0	2
Lance Ware	Forward	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Nnanna Njoku	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

108.6Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

13.4Net Efficiency-13.4

53.3%Effective FG%43.3%

57.1%True Shooting %47.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

34.4%Free Throw Rate25.4%

26.2%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

St. John's won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.